RE: Baghdad will convene an extraordinary session to ratify the agreement16 Jul 2025 14:44
Could it be that both sides, KRG and Baghdad, have reasons for not wanting a pipeline agreement. While Iranian influenced politicians in Iraq would like to continue squeezing those “nasty” Kurds in order to control them, if not punish them for supporting the dreaded enemy, the USA , senior Kurdish politicians are making a fortune from exporting crude oil oil by tanker and by refining oil and selling it for export or on the local market . They’ve bought a lot of tankers and they own the refineries. Baghdad have cut the civil service payments , something they’ve done before and it seems that the KRG don’t care too much about their own people, however this is different, and not only because Trump will support western oil companies and put pressure on both sides in order to keep international oil prices lower, but because with the drone attacks and GKP etc. suspending production there’s no cheap oil for so called ‘local sales’, ‘(export) and no oil to refine . In short Iraq will compromise on U.S pressure , Trump can cut 100% of Iraq’s oil revenue in an instant, The Kurds, like it or not will compromise , on U.S. pressure or simply because they will lose all of their income. As for independence, it seems that Turkey do not want that as it sets a president regarding Turkish Kurds. And independence isn’t practical without access to a port.
In short an agreement is the only way out for both sides like it or not. As I’ve said, it’s coming to a head.