Member Info for Pogo001

I advise all interested parties to monitor the increase in the price of aviation fuel.

https://www.iata.org/en/publications/economics/fuel-monitor/

https://www.airlines.org/dataset/argus-us-jet-fuel-index/

https://jet-a1-fuel.com/

Pokerchips

I've written about this several times. Wizzair's realistic price protection is around 30% for the second half of 2026. Therefore, an average increase in the price of crude oil to USD 100 which likely means an increase in the price of jet fuel above USD 1,800. Some people here still don't understand that the price of the raw material is not the price of jet fuel, which is also determined by fixed costs and the availability of processing capacity and transport of the finished product. In any case, such a price means losses per passenger of €10-15, optimistically speaking. This could also include flight cancellations, advance payments and compensation, and reputational damage. My estimate is €150-300 million in losses, just if the current price of USD 100 persists until the end of September 2026.

Regarding politics. As I've already said, regardless of Trump's or Israel's intentions, this war was necessary. In a few months, the potential losses would have been much greater. Furthermore, the risk of a conflict between China - Iran - Russia versus the US and the rest of the Western world's democracies was growing. We need to remember this, understand it, and refrain from uttering foolish words. No matter how painful it is for our finances, we have a chance to rebuild them. In the second scenario, we would all go under.

Your fundamental problem is that you don't understand that Israel and the US aren't giving up. They won't be deterred by a price of $200 a barrel either. Because Iran is basically doomed to failure. Price doesn't matter. The market will survive. Will everyone survive it? Certainly not. And I advise you to assume that the current mess, with oil prices above $100, will remain with us for at least six months. I believe the average for the period March 1st - September 1st, 2026, will exceed $120. I'd rate this probability at over 60%.And assuming this oil price, coupled with an increase in other fixed costs, we should look at Wizzair's financial situation. This means generating losses of between $150 and $300 million, so to speak, optimistically.

Pike61

"You can't go back to a place you never left." And I'm sitting quietly on ITV and laughing. From Friday to today (with ITV shares at 85.60 pence), the value of my wallet has increased by over £38,000. Do you understand or you still believe in a miracle when you count your millions against a Wizzair valuation of £30 or £50, ha, ha?

Strike123

But my ITV was over 7% on Friday, just 5% from yearly high. .. Today up again over 1% and after Comcast deal I get a price £1.2-1.5. And remember, divi on 9th April, about 4% if you get it at 85 pence. This is the difference between buying reality and dreams

And one more thing. Remember: For a stock price to rise, demand and capital commitment are necessary. For a stock price to fall, fear and just trickle of supply are enough. The pain suffered by buyers of local share's price holes make additional panic and limits the cash flow needed in the first phase of the rebound, which always comes eventually.

But, but.

Buy it! Average it!

After all, someday it will be 1500, 3000, 5000...

All the best for the real local shamans.

My optimistic scenario for end of today is 840-860 pence, pessimist 760-720.

I don't want to be a prophet and I'm against fake news, but a turnover of 1 million shares on another price increase amidst market panic... I wonder what infirmation will emerge in a few days. Sky and Comcast? 85.60 max, 8.09 am

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders

B777 CAPTAIN Your wisdom is astounding. You should become an advisor to this government, so that for now we have a little panic. Hmm..., especially THIS government.

O GREAT B777CAPTAIN, we lift up our prayers to you.

Reuters

;)

Fume

Telling a fragment of the truth is also a lie and manipulation. So either you're lying or you can't count: 83% by the end of March, 55% annually, 25-30% security for the second half of 2026. And these are official data, not just a snippet. Oh, and the price of spot security for the coming months has risen several times compared to the end of January.

Given the current military developments in Iran... and the oil price (up 15.5-16.5% and currently trading at around $105-106 per barrel), the question is: will we see a 100-point drop in Wizzair's share price tomorrow, or closer to 200 points? I think a drop in the 15-25% range, given the slight panic currently brewing in the market, is highly likely. In any case, Wizzair shareholders, cheap shares bottom catchers, Wizzair lover's of all stripes, and local shamans, fasten your seatbelts.

Garydav2

Pray, pray, pray ....

In any case, the £17.8k dividend will be credited to the account anyway, so with the next tax relief of £18k used, it looks quite promising and pleasant.

TraderUK

I hope... No. Although I think we'll reach £1 with possible fluctuations between £0.95-£1.10. Personally, I'd prefer to invest £12,000 of new tax relief on my investing ISA account as cheaply as possible. Regardless of the share price, this amount will be used to buy shares. But £1 or more is inevitable in the first half of this year (if the war in Iran doesn't spread and the situation cools down a bit).

It's official. The next ex-dividend day is April 9, 2026, at 3.3 pence per share. For those unfamiliar with the program, you must have shares in your investment account on April 8 to receive it. The dividend will be paid on May 21, 2026.

All the best for the real ITV long term shareholders.

Writing that while I'm suffering large losses, others are, or should be, suffering greater ones is further confirmation of the intelligence of the people writing this. People who call themselves investors, ha ha ;) It sounds like "it doesn't matter that I go bankrupt, what matters is that there will be many of us." It's like, in the case of B777CAPTAIN, seeking companionship in a shared room in a psychiatric ward. Saying that everything is ok and doesn't matter "because Wizzair should in the future or is losing now less than its competitors "it sounds equally foolish, if only due to the lack of comparability of financial standing, operational efficiency, or security of these other its competitors. That there will come a time when Wizzair's share price might rebound? Probably so, but then you idiots won't earn anything, because the profits will be made by speculative capital, which will eventually after 10, 20, 30% shares price rebund realize its profits rather than counting how much its losses have fallen.This capital will leave again, looking for another opportunity elsewhere, and you will be left with your losses and dreams that the share price will at least return to your long term yearly average.

B777CAPTAIN

As I understand it, you think you'll live to see Wizz Air's share price of 30 pounds, and your retirement in general. Well, I believe that after 50, every day is a gift from nature and our foresight. And I have no intention of making assumptions about what will happen in 10 years. Because what matters in life is today, tomorrow, next week, and above all, peace of mind. Every speculator explains their losses to themselves and others as realistic long-term gains and a well-thought-out financial strategy. In psychiatry, this is called denial. I learned about it at university... To me, nothing excuses stupidity. Every investor describes their mistakes as a built-in risk of the profession. However, one should learn from mistakes, accept them with humility, and draw conclusions, rather than claiming that in finance, a 47% loss of capital with a chance of increasing this loss to 80-90% is a predictable, assumed, and acceptable course of action. You're an idiot, a loser infecting other investors with your thinking. With every post you make projecting a bright future for any investment, you should add: "But overall, I'm losing 47, 60, or even 90% of my capital, so some people think my mental illness qualifies me for a stay in a closed psychiatric ward." Is that harsh? Everything you're saying, from my perspective, is meant to keep you company in that psychiatric ward. And that's all, judging by your forecasts of Wizz Air's share valuation in 5, 10, or 20 years.