Reality7 Mar 2026 12:51
As usual, it's a stupid discussion. And only a few voices of reason. What are the realities? In two weeks, prices at gas stations have already increased by over 7% (at least in Glasgow). If the conflict lasts another two weeks, the price of crude oil will rise another 30-50%, approaching $130-150 for a crude oil barrel and we'll see prices above £2 per liter at gas stations. Knowing the British temperament, we'll probably see panic buying, comparable or even greater than that experienced during COVID-19. The rise in fuel prices will be followed by a sharp rise in the prices of all goods, especially food. Let's also say goodbye to possible interest rate cuts (although I'm betting 50:50 on this one for March). It's easy to imagine how this will impact air travel, ticket prices, and overall holiday prices for those who can still afford it. So, if you own Wizz Air shares, don't want to sell them, and believe the price will return to around 1,000-1,300 pence, and can afford to wait, don't sell, just wait. However, carefully consider the risk, your own financial capabilities, and your own accepted "pain threshold". Any shares price bottom is exactly £0. No one can currently define it for Wizzair, but as a shareholder you need to understand and accept situation. As I've already written, I believe the US and Israel won't end this war until they destroy Iran's military potential. They will also accept the risk of chaos in this region of the world rather than allow their military actions to end in political defeat. Unfortunately, such conclusions don't sound very optimistic for the market. In my opinion, Wizzair shares still have a 25-40 percent risk range for losses exceeding gains. However, this is a subjective assessment. Although, as always, not all stocks will lose value, the majority of the market will be painfully affected by the current situation.
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