Member Info for Pogo001

Judging by today's oil price performance: from plus 3%, then to minus 14%, and now minus 5% (i.e., from $108 to $92, and now back to over $101), the market doesn't have much faith in Trump. The fact is, someone made a lot of money again, and ha ha "probably" no one from the redhead' circle. Furthermore, Iran has remained silent, and in my opinion, this is another Trump's publicity stunt to calm the markets. I wouldn't bet a cent on what happens in the next few days.

As as said: the future is unpredictable. I'm holding my shares portfolio, but will be very careful with any new investment.

Judging by today's oil price performance: from plus 3%, then to minus 14%, and now minus 5% (i.e., from $108 to $92, and now back to $101), the market doesn't have much faith in Trump. The fact is, someone made a lot of money again, and "probably" no one from the redhead' circle. Furthermore, Iran has remained silent, and in my opinion, this is another Trump's publicity stunt to calm the markets. I wouldn't bet a cent on what happens in the next few days.

Trump postpones strikes on Iranian energy sites for five days. The only question now is whether he can be trusted, what Israel's reaction is, and what purpose does this pause serve? In the case of Israel and Trump, I'll believe it when I see it, meaning after the fact. In any case, today's execution was postponed, and the 20% move in oil prices shows how little it really takes to panic (this time on the shorts positions) in the current market.

Waiting for divi and next tax year. This market is unpredictable now.

Trump postpones strikes on Iranian energy sites for five days. The only question now is whether he can be trusted, what Israel's reaction is, and what purpose does this pause serve? In the case of Israel and Trump, I'll believe it when I see it, meaning after the fact. In any case, today's execution was postponed, and the 20% move in oil prices shows how little it really takes to panic (this time on the shorts positions) in the current market. Kudos to the risk-takers, if they made profits.. I'm not one of them, as I value my capital and sanity more than questionable profits.

My previous conclusion doesn't mean I'm optimistic at all. In an extremely negative scenario, ITV shares could test their lows of 50-60 pence (this would be if the current situation resulted in the postponement of the FIFA World Cup, end of Sky negotiations, or a recession in the UK and globally). And here, the upcoming dividend may only keep in short term the current market from falling. Well, there's nothing we can do about it.

Unfortunately, the external situation continues to deteriorate and does not inspire optimism. As I've written repeatedly on the Wizz Air forum, I believe that Trump and Israel will not accept defeat in the current conflict, and it will continue until Iran's military and economic power is broken. Politically, in a pessimistic scenario, both Israel and the US administration will more readily accept years of political chaos in the region than the rise to power of another anti-Jewish and anti-American regime, strengthened by the experience of the current conflict. As I've already said, regardless of one's assessment of the US or Israeli actions, this war was necessary, even though the entire military action should have taken place many years ago. Today, we are all paying for years of diplomatic games with Iran, as well as a same as for a lenient policy towards Russia. And the real reckoning will unfold over the next 12 months. The only positive outcome will be the collapse of the Iranian regime, which can only be achieved through its systematic, fear-inspiring physical elimination and the realization by Iran that Trump will ignore the political and financial costs of this war. On the other hand, the regime's collapse will bring stability and tangible financial benefits to both the world and the American economy. So let's see what comes of it.

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders

We have 75.40. So, after subtracting the dividend, the real investment price is around 72 pence. I'll leave the thoughts about this situation and decision to each individual person.

Avocet123

A wise man will understand, an idiot is not worth explaining.

I'm amazed by the voices of reason appearing on this forum. It's a shame that the notion that capital protection is more important than potential, imagined profits must come at the cost of serious financial losses. The reality is that once the market calms down, as the macroeconomic situation, and consequently, stock prices, crystallize, it will be possible to profit many times over from the fluctuations in shares of companies like Wizz Air. It's just that in an upward trend, we risk lower real profits, not losses, having "a hot potato in our hands."

For now, a potential bottom means accepting at least another 25-40% loss in Wizzair's share value. On the other hand, without a realistic assessment of financial losses (including long-term ones), the potential price increase won't exceed 1,000 pence. Therefore, the risk of losses still exceeds the potential gains several times over. Furthermore, in a pessimistic scenario, we could be talking about losses exceeding 50% of capital, a loss of financial stability for the company, and, from an investor's perspective, a long-term lock-in of the remaining capital after the sell-off. Because market recovery, if the war drags on, destroying both the supply and demand sides of the market, and a return to the reality of the end of 2025, will take several years in the aviation market. In such a case, calculating potential profits is foolish and stupid.

Three Witches

I'm no worried about the future.

79.25 is a good price to buy before divi and in the new tax year (but I don't think that this price will hold until April 9th).

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders.

Nonsense upon nonsense. The only thing that changes is the Wizzair share price. 1250, 1100, 1000, 950, 840, 950,..., 870. I'm sure I'll be in the same mood when I read these posts in the next two weeks. And the Wizzair share price? 900, 800, 600?

The ball on the Titanic continues.

They say: "The last one out, turns off the light." Do we really have to be the last one out, paying the price of our arrogance, to understand the situation we find ourselves in and what it means for airlines and the commercial tourism market?

As I am not a Trump fan, he is doing very important and good job in Iran. Lots of problem and much harder and expensive like the expected - in my opinion YES. But it should be done ten, twenty years ago. Today's Iran is a terrorist country. Iran together with Russia & China are a threat to Europe and all western democracy. The price of this war is invalid. Time,.., in my opinion, at least 3 months of military action by Iran, and I still expect a terrorist threat in Europe and USA.

You should protect your capital and limit your risk. Greed always ends in one way. As an investor you need to understand all implications of this situation for your investment. Otherwise you are just an idiot.

Anon 3 Nearly 20% loses, you are still averaging buying price, but as for you ...... it's still cheap. You are not thought about the mistakes made and the stupidities written on this forum, just talking nonsens by nonsens. And ... fully happy. Congratulations on your sense of humor. As I wrote, the last ball on the Titanic.

It seems Citigroup got burned on its purchases and is trying to cover its own backside. It won't help much because other brokers are slashing now airline market valuations by 25-40%, recommendations are being blown to bits and investors are not idiots - they have a good memory, but above all, they see the loss of value of their investment portfolios. All investors are aware of how this could end, and doesn't matter that it won't necessarily be a repeat of the 1970s oil crisis. It will be enough if we have repeat of 2005 and the crisis surrounding Hurricane Katrina.

Some of you are like you're at the Titanic. The ship is sinking, the music is playing, and couples are still dancing on the dance floor because, after all, this ship can't sink. The lucky shareholders from Cineword, THG Holdings, Carllion, Body Shop felt and behaved similarly...

Muppets are very popular at this forum...

LOT isn't for sell. LOT is looking for shopping opportunities from last year. That means once again, you're talking nonsense.

I suggest you look for large diapers, because if average oil prices rise above £120, it's going to be a disaster. On top of that, we've already seen over a 130% increase in aviation fuel prices since the end of January, and supply problems have begun at some airports. Official reserves are less than three weeks of average demand. So the stench is getting worse, and no amount of prayer will cover it up.

With a bit of irony.....

The war continues unabated. Oil prices refuse to fall, slowly approaching $120. At the same time, jet fuel prices have more than doubled on the market, and its availability is declining, which is slowly forcing airlines to cancel flights. Politically, the war is starting to become a trap for Trump, and future problems are beginning to crystallize before NATO itself. At the same time, Israel is pursuing a policy of physical extermination of Iran's leaders and hostile military organizations throughout the region. Further analyst forecasts are emerging regarding rising average fuel prices, falling demand, and rising inflation, significantly impacting airline budgets. It's safe to say that everything is going according to plan and my predictions. In the coming weeks, new external forecasts regarding a decline in profits and new valuations for Wizz Air shares will likely emerge. I suspect this will be a cold shoulder for many shareholder.

93 pence per share... But I'm happy with that. It's always better to buy shares cheaper in the new tax year, especially with a relatively higher dividend yield.

Crying short-term speculations, ... sorry but I am not care about that 82 pence instead of 100 pence is little bit painful for these people.. I can do math. Furthermore, the situation at the end of the tax year and just before the dividend is set for ITV repeats itself year after year. It's been known for years that large funds transfer funds between their portfolios to book losses-profits on ITV shares, but also dividends in specific accounts. So the cries of speculative players once again confirm their lack of understanding of market realities and the specifics of ITV shares, and therefore, in my opinion, their stupidity or just (???) naivety.

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders

Basing optimism on the assumption that things are bad and will get worse (in terms of financial results) – but Wizzair's share price isn't currently falling, which means (???) the market seems to have accepted it - it may be painfully punished. As I remember in my over 30 years history of investing in the stock market, it's always ended in losses. But of course, it's not my money, so "Hooray" for optimists.