Member Info for Pogo001

Bjet

It's good to hear some sense.

WizzUp

What you're saying is enough to summarize your investment knowledge. A child with his head in the clouds, convincing others that 20% of capital losses supposedly amounting to thousands of pounds, means nothing, and that's a deliberate investment strategy... 😂 Unfortunately, others can verify these percentages, read old posts and declarations about a slightly larger portfolio and different purchase prices. So the lies come out quickly and without whitewashing. I understand that losing tens of thousands of pounds isn't exactly painful for a child living in a dream world, a little liar waiting for his weekly paycheck from his parents.

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(..) I hope this translates into his own thorough analysis of what he's saying and how he's investing.

WizzUp

How are your thousands (YES, THOUSANDS) of Wizz Air shares doing, which you were talking about buying from 1,300 pence a share, boasting about your portfolio and money? Your over-the-top imagination amuses me, just like the over-the-top ego of our pilot (a shaman, as I call him). He's remained silent for now, though. And I hope he's followed the advice he gave on this forum and bought lots of "cheap" Wizzair shares at lovely proce over 1250 and 1100 pence too as he told it. Because it means the current price level is causing him significant pain and is causing him a lot of stress. I hope this translates into jego wlasna thorough analysis of what he's saying and how he's investing.

I won't discuss your holdings, well-thought-out transactions, or market conclusions. You don't seriously discuss dreams and aspirations with children—they simply have to grow up.

As usual, the prevailing optimism here is completely out of sync with market reality. And the end result will be another sharp decline in Wizzair's share price, testing the psychological resistance level at 800 pence. Economics and mathematics are inexorable. Most people here have been "flying away" from the market for months. So if the stupidity represented so widely on this forum could fly, they wouldn't need to invest in Wizzair shares to take off and fly. It would probably be a less expensive option for many here. In any case, I recommend 😂: buy Wizzair shares, average the price until it hurts, and .... pray, pray, pray.

Regarding the coming days, I believe that given what's happening around Iran, any forecasts must be very cautious. My basic forecast assumes one or two more strong blows to Iran, causing the price of oil to break $130 per barrel, and stabilizing the average price around $100 by the end of the year. Then we have a few more months of quelling the conflict, political games, and, if US military power allows, a takeover of Cuba to improve Trump's image. This will cause an increase in inflation, perhaps a single interest rate hike of 0.25% in the UK. In addition, a sharp decline in economic growth to around 0.5%. This has certain implications for ITV. Regarding the ITV share price at the turn of the month, in a dynamic scenario (a US military strike on Iran's sources of oil distribution and processing), the share price could range between 75 and 72 pence until the ex-dividend date (up to April 8th). What then? Then, the Iran issue will come to the fore, but also the defense of the course through controlled information from ITV regarding negotiations with Comcast, the assessment of World Cup profits, and we're waiting to see how the entire market environment will react. My investment in the new tax year in my ISA portfolio is currently on hold. The extra 4% from the dividend isn't worth the additional risk, and there are other investments on the market with similar risk that offer the chance of comparable or greater returns. So, I'm keeping a close eye on things; most of the funds from the new ISA limit of £20,000 will be transferred to my account on April 6th, but I'll be very cautious with my investment decisions.

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The issue here is the price, which depends on the market situation with the risk assessment for the next 12 months - and this depends on what happens in Iran.

Unfortunately, the current international situation will have a significant impact on stock market valuations. We face a looming wave of inflation and a virtually unpredictable end to the conflict in Iran, as well as a virtually unpredictable resolution. USA and Israel's failure to defeat the conflict and Trump's typical attempt to sell it as a victory could result in high oil prices for the next five years, political fragmentation in the region, a rise in anti-American sentiment, and the strengthening of Islamic fundamentalism and Iranian influence. In the background, we have the impact of this conflict on Putin and Russia's finances, which will delay the end of the war in Ukraine and weaken the EU and the UK. Furthermore, the visible political and military weakening of NATO itself lays the foundation for Russia's continued aggressive policy. The seizure of parts of Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia or Poland is therefore becoming a realistic scenario. After all, what can NATO offer? There will be no military retaliation, we would probably see only at most political declarations or an ineffective trade blockade. So this is a long-term risk that should be taken into account, and one that the Ost European region's financial markets are slowly pricing in. Iran must suffer a financial and political defeat, or we will all face many times greater costs in the near future. This means supporting Trump, regardless of one's assessment of his actions and personality, or the rationale behind the outbreak of this conflict. Furthermore, we must shift to a war economy as quickly as possible, because time is working in favor of Iran, Russia, and China. Such are the realities of today's world.

In any case, for ITV, we should expect another decline in advertising revenue, although the FIFA World Cup should improving its third-quarter results. I think we'll also see a slower pace of growth for STUDIO. The development of the gambling business within ITVX remains an open question. This could be an opportunity to partially offset the declines in other activities. For now, I see no threats to its dividend policy, although a sharp rise in inflation and political turmoil could quickly change ITV's financial capabilities. Currently, all dividend-paying company, in the face of inflationary threats, should attract significant investment capital. Regarding the talks with Comcast, I am cautiously optimistic. Price is the key issue regarding the acquisition of ITVX or the entire ITV business. In my opinion, any offer encompassing not only ITVX but also STUDIO should generate external counteroffers. There are at least a few potential buyers for STUDIO in the market, waiting for it to shed the burden of linear television. I believe that if Comcast were to offer buy all of ITV, at least some of them (perhaps reluctantly) would be willing to compete and make own offer for ITV. The issue here is the price, which depends on the market situation with the risk assessment for the ne

Hey. Why is it so quiet here? It's cheap. Buy Wizzair shares. Average the prices of your previous cheap purchases. Soon it will be 1500 pence again, then 2000, 3000, 5000 pence, and so on. Hmm, unless I misread something and added one too many zeros, so it's 500, not 5000. ;)

And don't worry. This nearly 16% short position in Wizzair shares is, as you yourselves imply, capital from idiots, representing nothing but over £145 million. So it's not worth explaining and any attention.

A small price increase. Low trades. A good idea if it's a buy to get a divi, although I don't rule out that we could see a valuation of around 75 pence by April 8th. In any case after the dividend date, the long-term shareholders should grit their teeth again and not worry about a possible price decline and a likely test of 70 pence.

For now, I remain at 540,150 shares. Any changes will involve transferring the balance from investment accounts to an ISA (simultaneous sale and buy), but that will likely happen during a quieter trading period.

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders

This choice significantly strengthens the BBC and outlines the future direction of changes towards online broadcasting. BBC has the potential to enter advertising sector too.. The public broadcaster's restrictions do not apply to revenues generated, for example, through the sale of programs or broadcasting on external streaming sites. This is not good news for ITV. What is positive is the consequences that should appear in the overall approach to media, leading to long-awaited legal changes and new regulations covering the UK media market. It also allows for the full consolidation of this sector.

The price of jet fuel has surpassed $1,700. Wizz Air has hedged less than 40% of its demand since April 1st, and analysts consider a price above $1,200 for the next two quarters of the year to be very optimistic, even if the conflict subsides. All other operating costs are rising, and in the background, we have a looming decline in consumer cash. These are realities that must be taken into account when valuing the entire sector. Although, of course, this won't convince a fools and idiots on this forum, so I suggest continuing to buy cheap Wizz Air shares and further averaging the purchase price. And after they should pray, pray, pray.

This talk about Trump is laughable to me, as the market, like everyone else on this forum, reacts to his every fart. If anyone doesn't understand that a man with his personality won't allow himself to fail publicly, I still recommend believing the war will end in a week. I believe what is more likely, that the UAE will join the war and coalition will attack the Iranian oil export hub within a week. Iran and stock market expect it at weekend, means we all should expect it in any time.

Stille

Ha, ha, ha. Why I don't trust anything said by people like you....

Stille

Where is your £10 today?

Just like after the drop to 1250. You all received a gift from fate and an opportunity to leave this sinking ship.

I hope I'm wrong, but I have the impression that the ITV share price is currently being supported only by the upcoming dividend and hopes for the SKY deal. Realistically, we're seeing a significant decline in demand – because of Iran situation and I'd also attribute this to the upcoming end of the fiscal year and (hopefully) the accumulation of funds under ISA investment. I just hope that the ongoing war in Iran doesn't worsen the long-term financial outlook, and that the uncoordinated actions and announcements from Trump and his administration don't impact the stock market at the turn of the second and the third quarter of the year, and especially in the second part of April. Because then, as I've already written, if there's no sign of a SKY deal, the pessimistic scenario with a valuation in the 60-70 pence range will become the new optimistic one. For now, I'm still holding on to my ITV share portfolio, but as for investing in the new year under an ISA, the decision is still on hold.

Regarding the situation with Iran, Iran appears to be taking the political initiative. This means either a political defeat for Trump or an expansion of military operations, leading to a collapse in the oil trade. Unfortunately, the second option is more likely. Moreover, it is the only realistically acceptable alternative, even for the democratic West. We will all bear the costs of years of inaction.

I don't mind criticism of my statements. Most of them only bring a smile of pity to my face, especially when they come from users boasting about yet another Wizzair shares price average , as they make another purchase "so cheap" shares. And so, for a long time, on some accounts, I've been reading these fiery statements about purchases at 1300, 1250, 1200, 1100, 1000... and cheaper, cheaper and cheaper.. At the same time, they have zero understanding of the fallacy of such reasoning, zero respect for one's capital, and they are only increasing their losses - which often requiring a 30-50% increase in Wizzair share price just to cover losses, not to achieve any profit. Some of the experts and shamans here fell silent for a moment, perhaps overwhelmed by the weight of their own power... ha ha. Laughter is good for health. Definitely. Do those here remember I mentioned the gold, Bitcoin, and AI bubbles? I don't think so. Just as I don't think they understand the connection between assets and their liquidity in investment portfolios, which leads to asset sales at all costs just to maintain liquidity. Arrogance doesn't compensate for a lack of knowledge. Investing luck runs out when the investment market shows its volatility. And regarding financial bubbles, it's still time for a cold shower for AI' millionaires.

If my calculations are correct and align with my predictions regarding the development of the conflict with Iran, we should see a price level of 770-780 pence by around April 4th. This doesn't rule out a lower level around 700-720 pence, or a return to the line around 950 pence. We'll see if I'm right. In any case, the shorts still seem very strong. They are also well-covered, with an opening average above 1,250 pence. This only confirms my conclusion that breaking the 1,000 pence per share level for Wizz Air, even if the conflict in Iran ends (due to the scale of infrastructure damage and its long-term effects), will be very difficult.

Black Rock: This isn't as much of an increase in possession of ITV shares as I would have expected, but it's good news.

After six days of falling prices, we should finally see a positive close. What's next?

Unfortunately, Trump publishes his decisions, or rather desires and thoughts, on his own social media and while I understand the purpose of the information he's releasing - cooling emotions in the oil market (not just that a someone of his friends is making millions off of it), I don't see a chance for a quick end to this conflict. Furthermore, ending it at this stage is undoubtedly a victory for Iran, strengthening its position in the long term. Another intervention in the near future seems impossible in such a situation too. And this bodes very poorly for Europe, also considering the conflict in Ukraine, the China-Taiwan issue, and Putin's Russia's influence on European politics. Therefore, it would be better for negotiations to fail at this stage, even if it meant oil prices rose above $120. Iran must face defeat, accept political changes, and a full-scale control on its nuclear and military programs. The way forward is to seize control of its sources of income. And here, I hope Trump will do what he must militarily, regardless of electoral gains. This is especially true since, in the long run, such a solution will increase support for his party and himself. Regardless of what one may say about the current US administration, many things have gone too far after end of Cold War, and unfortunately, a cold shower on the politics head in Europe was the only solution to prevent us from waking up to our necks in manure.

Commenting on other people's stupidity, ignorance, or greed is slowly becoming tedious. I think valuing investment portfolios based on Wizz Air shares would be the best commentary here.

TraderUK

I agree with you.

I think we're waiting now for announcement who bought this shares. In my opinion these shares are ended up in a temporary account held by friendly dealers, so as not to cause market confusion, enforce disclosure obligations, or trigger significant price fluctuations. I'm betting on US funds operating on behalf of specific clients. Regardless, the buyer likely didn't expect to lose money on this acquisition. Unless, of course, the Liberty situation repeats itself: "playing cat and mouse game" on the ITV shares, collecting dividends, and in the meantime borrowing shares to short positions. Let's wait.