Member Info for Pogo001

Taser

Carrington is another idi### ot. Filtered.

Robs60

Paranoia is incurable. People experiencing it usually end up in psychiatric institutions, closed places whose purpose is to protect society and themselves from themselves. Discussion is pointless. Don't act like a bored child enjoying blowing up a frog through a straw. Limit discussions to facts about ITV, the market, and your own thoughts and feelings about it. Use filters. Don't clutter the forum.

All the best for the real ITV long term shareholders.

Never ?? ending story ...

Waste of time. Just "squeezing the lemon" as usual. We'll see how it ends.

At the current volume level, without pre-arranged transactions distorting the stock's price, virtually any closing price settlement is possible within the range of approximately 82.8 to 85 pence. This raises the risk of arbitrage by market makers at 4:35 p.m. They may be forced to repurchase previously sold shares at a much higher price. As I've already suggested, the risk of a sharp increase in the ITV share price is growing disproportionately quickly, due to factors such as the upcoming dividend, interest rate levels, the financial results announcement, the conclusion of negotiations with Comcast, and the expected increase in the share market valuation related to upcoming sporting events or the development of the ITVX gaming business. The meager supply of shares, which can arise in crisis situations (confirmed by the recent declines), is hampering potential declines, with investors currently viewing any significant price correction of several percent as a buying opportunity. This situation further limits the scope for short positions, most of which is held by weak individual speculative investors. All this is a harbinger of, and I believe will soon be confirmed by, concrete fast changes in the market valuation of ITV shares.

All the best for the real long term ITV shareholders.

Another boring day. The failed attempt to trigger stop orders after the price rose to 85 pence confirms the lack of real resistance in the 84-85 pence range. What we're seeing here is a lack of new blood in the ITV share market, growing fatigue with the current situation among speculative shareholders, and, as I said, a steady accumulation of ITV shares by strong players who are benefiting from the sharp price movements but are currently uninterested in launching a buying spree.

From the point of view of a long- or medium-term investor, the valuation of the ITV share portfolio over the last six months has remained virtually unchanged, with an upward trend confirming the minimum valuation accepted by the market in the range of 80-84 pence. I think we'll see a turning point by the end of the month, and even the current turmoil in the British political scene won't harm it.

The number of filtered posts suggests that our local trolls are still not giving up.

Returning to the 84pence level, I personally don't believe there's any technical or psychological barrier here. Given the current volume and the minimal involvement of small investors (and the actual inflow of new investors) that influences the share price, ITV shares are in a classic stalemate - a slow upward trend controlled by large players. This trend is intended to provide an opportunity for a slow accumulation of shares in strong hands, and we've seen a similar situation before - although daily turnover after rejecting return orders or multi-million shares agreed-upon reshuffles was significantly higher, hovering around 2-3 million shares. As for the expected increase in interest from individual investors, it will be fueled by the upcoming dividend date and the inevitably approaching interest rate cuts. As a rule, a seasoned investor invests in a dividend-paying company a month to a month and a half before the dividend date. From the perspective of this group of individual investors, any speculation about Comcast and Sky plays practically no role in their investment decisions. A sustained (at least two or three trading sessions) breakout of the level at around 88 pence should be a technical and psychological barrier to breaking speculation, with increased volume and, above all, the number of transactions. This situation will trigger a return to the market of ITV shares by medium-term dealers guided by technical indicators. At that point, we will likely reach a level of at least £1-1.20, regardless of the negotiations with Sky, which could only fuel the market. In the background, as is typical in such situations, there will likely be positive reports and assessments of ITV's financial situation, expected profits in 2026, prospects for valuation increases, and ultimately, the sale of individual components or the entire company. And I have no doubt that this will fall on fertile ground. The expansion of American capital leaving the US in search of lucrative investments and securing the value of their investment portfolios is clearly accelerating. The year 2025, through the increased erosion of the dollar's value and, above all, a decline in confidence in its stability, has set the course for expansion, which will undoubtedly continue and be strengthened in 2026. As I've already said, Comcast, in my opinion, has little choice. It will also pay much more than it offered at the beginning of the negotiations. It will either pay or be forced to compete for market share by acquiring numerous small companies, facing the need to consolidate them.

As usual, trading volume today is quite low. However, today is different, as the high opening and movement above 85 pence generated nervousness and increased activity in speculative portfolios. I emphasize the word "speculative" here, because a conscious long-term or even medium-term investor is aware of the strength of a potential price increase in ITV shares, along with its unpredictability. This investor continues to wait, maybe just holding his breath... :) How will this end today? I won't guess. External pressure is mounting, and last RNS, ignored by most commentators, clearly shows the side accumulating ITV shares. And me .... I'm calmly waiting for a violent outburst.

"Keep your stake, accumulate, and don't speculate by calculating potential profits from stock price fluctuations, because if caught by the market, you'll suffer real losses, with no way to make up for the lost profit." Greed ruins every investment. To which I'll add: it's inappropriate to persuade someone to invest by sowing arguments "for" if, at the same time, we're speculating on the same securities and not making this clear in every recommendation. Otherwise, we're duplicitous. For this reason, several nicknames have already landed in my FILTERS.

Hmm... I can't see resistance at 84 pence. For me, 88 pence is a real first strong number.

I hope that robs60 sold your stake. Hedging the position means he doesn't lose money but doesn't make money either. The pain and doubts will begin at the close around 85 pence. It's clear that understanding what I've been repeating for a long time must be painful for many speculators.

Today's posts are only news reprints. But let me know, why everyone missed today's RNS. It's a bit funny, because this RNS actually sheds light on the situation regarding ITV's projected future and the likely direction of the future move of ITV share price. Furthermore, speculations about who is accumulating ITV shares and where the capital is coming from are finally being confirmed, given the continued resistance to this investment from City. This awakening could be a painful one for several British funds and investment banks that fail to recognize opportunities in their own backyard. Not first time and possible not a last, because stupidity and personal bias isn't painful if company's management don't kick your a...#ss.

Robs60 You don't need to teach me how to be a trader or how to do math. Enjoy your profits while you're making them. You will draw your own conclusions, when you understand what I'm talking about after your own investment will start accumulating losses or no made (normal and earlier expected not a sh..t tips) profits.

From my perspective, the situation in the labor market is becoming increasingly difficult, which would require specific support from the Central Bank. As you can see, either I'm mistaken, or policymakers, hurt by earlier, belated decisions to tighten monetary policy, are now being overly cautious. Perhaps they also see threats we don't.

Does this change the perception of ITV shares? I don't think so, although it certainly has an impact on the entire stock market. Looking for positives, such a decision certainly won't weaken the flow of funds flowing from abroad into the British pound market.

The Bank of England kept its lowered interest rates unchanged from its first policy-setting meeting of the new year earlier Thursday, with inflation still significantly higher than target. The question is: is this still the case in the labor market, or could things get much worse when it comes to inflation?

Regardless, the cat-and-mouse game on ITV shares continues. However, the price is hovering around its highest close in recent weeks. Let's see at the close on Friday.

Regarding those huge profits on reverse trades.

I won't argue the merits, but selling 25,000 ITV shares at, say, 83.20 and buying them back today at 82.20 would generate a profit of around £140, taking into account commissions. This also translates to a profit of around 0.67%. However, at the current trading volume, it's not so easy to sell or buy back those 25,000 ITV shares at the intended price. On paper, everything looks much better than real transactions executed by the system (when it turns out that the market price of the shares is supposedly above our order, but it remains unexecuted). And I think everyone here knows exactly what I'm talking about. Well, for me, it's not a risk worth taking in the current situation. It's pure speculation, intended to prove a point to myself or someone else. At some point, it always ends in losses or bitterness, because it means having to make a decision: do I chase the company's rapidly rising share price, or hope for a miracle that it will fall to the level of my sale transaction. I have over 540,000 ITV shares. I'm not here to earn money for my morning McDonald's.

Robs60

When it comes to ITV, you never know if it's a local rally or if the price is about to climb 10% higher, and you'll be hoping for a drop so you can buy back your previously sold shares. Especially now when the risk of this situation has increased above average. Profits? Of course,..., that's how it looks on paper. In reality people's lives and investments, common sense overshadows greed, and statistics, most such attempts are only marginally profitable. Unless someone is a miracle worker, but even they eventually get caught up in the statistics and suffer heavy losses.

By the way, anyway, good luck.

I understand that we have a small chance to cut credit rates by 0.25%, but you never know. Especially since BoA isn't just looking for inflation, and the job market is starting to look very bad. Regardless, dividend companies should be at the top of portfolio investments in the UK.

Robs60

You wrote that you tried to sell at 82.75 yesterday.. You able to do today.

As for myself, any selling yet is a big mistake.You can't predict the direction or speed of ITV share price growth. As I wrote, any corrections serve to drain shares from the market, and ultimately, they will serve to "cook up" unhedged short positions in your ITV shares. If you're a long-term investor in these shares (including with the upcoming dividend in mind), any attempts to profit from local fluctuations are pointless and risk chasing the rapidly rising share price. If we look at the upcoming dividend of 3.3 pence per share, then, leaving aside the SKY issue, but taking into account the upcoming decline in interest rates and the visible inflow of financial flows into the GBP market (where at least some of it will end up in the equity market), we must assume that the rate of return will fall to around 3.2-3.4%. This means ITV shares could be valued at 92 pence per share on grant day to over £1 per share. If anyone thinks this is too bold, I suggest you familiarize yourself with the yield curves in the broad bond market and read about their impact on stable dividend companies.

Looking at the number of filtered posts, it's clear that our local monkeys have nothing to do today...

BigEgo

£2 billion is still under my £2.5 billion but price is going in a good way. If they're paid all debt's with this £2 billion, will get me vote.

And one more thing: The average transaction price, which is easy to calculate (after discarding apparently prearranged transactions), clearly shows the potential profit or loss in the "cat and mouse" game played by some trolls and so-called "penny investors." It also represents, on average, 20-35% of the daily volume returning to the market in reverse transactions. It also accurately shows the average return, often negative, from such investments and the actual penny values ​​of profits at that transaction level. Because the goal is to accumulate shares and squeeze them out of the market, not a profit. It's sometimes worth monitoring such statistics over several weeks. It accurately illustrates the typical price behavior of a given stock, allowing one to form an opinion on the current situation and emerging trends.