Member Info for papucel

stevebt Halifax how much is the yearly fee and the trading one please? Do they have good analytic tools?

I may consider changing from II

I followed all the OXB trades for the past 3 days. It is absolutely fascinating there are almost no transactions, no one wants to sell . It seems that we are here some hard core retail investors not afraid of the shorters

I wander how long it will last

I am conflicted... Lots of critics about WM, SP down yet an incredible high institutional shareholding almost 50% while major companies like GSK, AZN, BAE S have only 20-30%.

I am new to this stock - any idea why so many funds still stay in if supposedly there is no hope of profit?

With all due respect Druggie, there are several forms of shorting not only the one displayed by regulatory requirements. UT's and false signals are another form of shorting and you could see the transactions on the full logs. There are hundreds of false signals resistance breaking points , it is debilitating to see how few low volume transactions drag the price disproportionally low down.

You don't have to listen to me, just check it yourself: download all the transactions in a day , calculate % if 1/2 share transactions, extract them and plot them separately to see the trend then look when they appear seemingly long delay, no one wants to sell and always disproportionately lower than the transactions before

https://www.thebushveldperspective.com/blog/public-articles-1/post/auctions-uncrossing-trades-and-evidence-of-manipulation-291

Today was 28 Mill UT
2021-02-16T16:35:06.847 GBX 1,273 2,134,791 27,175,889 UT XLON
2021-02-16T08:00:09.647 GBX 1,289 64,464 830,941 UT XLON
and 531 of 1/2 shares which if you plot them you can see wow they drag SP from 1290 to 1270 at delay points which is exactly the drop

With such an algorithm it doesn't even need to collude verbally , just more than 1/4 sec no trading
Who say Pemabear?

Fat you are absolutely right from the perspective of an individual trade and for us here. I guess the question is these shorters play with other peoples money, take unnecessary risks because they tell investors fantasist stories (yep greed has to be considered as well), then go bankrupt because the lack of liquidity to cover the positions, then we have to pay through taxes to save some banks others will be wiped off affecting the pensions.

The issue is systemic, yet we are all here.

Toff, I had been antagonised to sell at a loss as well because I got disappointed that I could see that the price could be dragged down not by a major exit but by disproportionately small algorithmic trades.

I just took 3 positions in US, VST, C, USB and try to see if the same apply.

The only unanswered question is why people sell, genuine profit making or panic? Does anyone have a crystal ball?

Bimmer668 ditto here with other shares - still didn't manage to get back in

I was in rage :) :) :)

K :)

"I am not recommending them as a buy.!" my question was, is your statement a disclaimer for this site or you just don't believe in the company, what they do, or in management? :)

Fat, How doe it fit into your theory
"If possible to pick a few up under £70, that looks an interesting area,! " ?

Isn't the statement just circumstantial rather than absolute ? :)

Thanks CSDI1962 highly appreciated and incredible useful.

Do you have any other gems ?

I saw many frustrated posts here and on AZN re the inefficiency in the LSE market so I looked closely to any of comments made. I checked various points in time on the same stock adjusted for the respective exchange rate and indeed it seems that ADRs at least the one I checked seems to be trading 3-5% higher on NYSE

Today NYSE was closed and FTSE went up 2.5%, questions: Did it go up because
- the shorters went to enjoy themselves and gave us a breathing space
- the traders got bored, not wanted to take the day off and brought some cash across to play with here
- was it a FTSE sustainable organic growth
- would it hold on tomorrow when NYSE will be open and they will take their cash back

I am interested in any opinions and any bets as well, I could be the House

Toff :) :) :) “My entry point was 13.61 I will take GSK to my grave,” It didn't mean that I contemplate suicide :) :) :) I meant that I won't sell it even that it will take the rest of my life to recover :) :) :) I thought it was funny.

Thanks to you I can see now the R%, the money flow Index and the Vortex so I am much more relaxed as I can see the primary drivers

Where have you been kernowlad when I asked the question ????? :) :) :)

please explain "Not a recommendation by me though I do own a few Scancell shares"

US market is closed today. Are the US traders bored and play on LSE as everything is up?

arsenal58
Many people here are invested in both AZN & GSK, some in OBX as well and some comments may cross over between boards re the behaviour of the SPs re various KPIs

Do you think that it would be possible for you to articulate your points in a Knowledgeable, Courteous manner?

My entry point was 13.61
I will take GSK to my grave, unless their R&D arm will invent a life extension jab

Fat & Toff First I apologise as I do not remember which one of you posted the Investing.com link. Secondly I am grateful you did as the technical tools are more sophisticate than the ones I have now on Interactive Investor.

Thanks a lot

Not again TR64 Please we managed here to have a reasonable conversation while you seem to be suspended by LSE.

We heard so so so many times you prising yourself how well you are informed about CVAC, VIR, mRNA and clattering over both GSK and AZN boards with self recognition of superiority without any supporting links that several people blocked and reported you. You posted the same message in a form or another about 17 times. and you personally insulted about 6 who are the most likely raised complaints with LSE.

Several people asked you if you hate so much AZN and GSK and you can't see anything good in them why are you still here? Now after your supposedly suspension, with your new date of your reset account of 12.02 you started all over again. I do not block you because there are some new people here with fresh views and they have to be made aware of your history .

You wrote: "Having signed up and read the article, I will say the ST piece is 100% misleading, it fails at basic levels of journalism."

The correct statement should have been "In My opinion Having signed up and read the article, I will say the ST piece is 100% misleading, it fails at basic levels of journalism." When would you understand ,if ever, that your personal interpretation of facts is you own interpretation and other people would see the facts from a different perspective. In another post you replied to someone that you have not made any libelous statements and you know the difference. By making statements of factual existence rather than making clear that that is your personal view ONLY.

If you start all over again it is very likely that you may end again in the same position.

My personal observation is that off hours various traders settle their dealings among themselves. some of them are UT's Uncrossing trading's meaning that they are done outside the LSE framework and the one opening the day was
2021-02-12T08:00:06.693 GBX 7,252 32,919 2,387,286 UT XLON (generally the spreads are open to the market after 2-3 min, there have been cases up to 6 when no spreads were sent to the open market)

then at the end of the day another of hour's transaction may have balladed the opening one:
2021-02-12T17:33:15.000 GBX 7,252 54,000 3,916,080 Off-Book XOFF

I couldn't find any strong correlation between these huge transactions and the next day prices nor the volatility during the day.

However each day for the SP I look at there are a large number of one share transactions which in my opinion are resistance breaks when people don't want to sell to give market signals that there are price movements, on the 12th there have been about 800 out of 22,500 transactions about 3.6%, which in my opinion is a lot. These one shares transactions have a very strong correlation with the trajectory of the SP during the day. Unfortunately to use it one has to sit all the day on the computer to look to the momentum of the trades which is another type of hobby :).

Maybe its extreme track record of violations and question if the effects of their" predictability" was proportionate with their cause?
https://violationtracker.goodjobsfirst.org/parent/credit-suisse

Thanks CSDI1962 for the historical behavioral arguments

Fat, by no means I look for definite answers, what make you to believe that? I gave two crystallization points and asked what may be the behavioural reasons that one may have stronger effect than other and thanks to CSDI1962 I received a compelling well argumented answer.

I belong to a debating society and what you said "No matter how well informed someone is on the sector or even on
GSK specifically, everyone can get it wrong" is exactly what I try to deconstruct. Observations, trial and error, making a set of assumptions and later see the result if any of the criteria were missed or took precedent is how we learned as humanity. I will watch closely CSD observations and try to prepare better for the next time points :) :) to GSK and any other SP.

Technically trading is a science, the algorithms are created by physicists on a very well defined set of criteria and sequences. Observing these trends are fundamental. F ex on the 21-28 when AZN went up close to 80 I didn't think it was possible to a drop of 6% just before the results expected to be good. Now I know that the gradients movements and momentum totally disregard the expected good results. All the world turns around based on patterns.

The whole statistic theory is just a set of assumptions them proven right or wrong by a set of events. So it will be interesting to observe if the drop will be steeper prior ex-div than after payment as this would mean that that particular segment of traders are more interested in volatility than in the dividend and an indication of the segment size. :) what's wrong in trying to observe and learn from these patterns?