RE: Found this interesting3 Sep 2018 23:34
I agree - remember, this was during Obama's reign, who had been given the Nobel Peace Prize before he'd even been sworn-in. At the time, I thought it strange, but perhaps a manoeuvre to make the new US president think twice before making any act of war (something George W seemed to find easy).
So even after a series of very serious Russian "incidents", from the Livinenko murder to the downing of MH17, it was very unlikely that anyone would declare war on Russia, even in its weakened state (at that time).
Working out how to deal with Russia, perhaps Obama did his sums and calculated the cost of undermining the PoO would be the most effective means, which would take, say, 18 to 24 months to achieve. If so, it nearly worked, but Putin hung on just long enough.
To achieve credibility, part of the story was the inexhaustible US shale oil supply, which could be cranked-up almost instantly and indefinitely. However, trusted oil experts repeatedly said it was an illusion and that the fall in new oil discoveries was bound to have a dramatic effect on PoO sooner rather than later.
So what's this got to do with PMO & RKH? It means that the PoO collapse was an aberration, when World oil demand is actually increasing, while we're all focusing on climate change and renewables. Oil demand will eventually fall, but not just yet.
PMO/RKH were able to negotiate some very good service contract deals for the FI, when the PoO collapsed, but they are limited to around 5 years, so PMO & RKH know, that if they're to benefit from these, they've got to get a move on.