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George ...Like most of my stocks we are thinking of 2018 highs. But this is 2019 and macro events have taken over...Trump Congress budget impasse..Us China trade conflict ..Eurozone slow down and of course Brexit. Funds have had their worst quarter since 2008 We are at the stage were anything could happen..... A recovery or a savage world stock tumble..
Tony ...I understand your annoyance but the arguments put forward are not lunacy. Some holders looking to off load do so when it looks that the shares cannot rise further in the short term. As a general rule share prices at any given time include all known future events in their price. So the rise of LTG well before official results day. That's why shares more often rise or fall when there are no public announcements or news. So if you spot a good company with good past figures buy then don't wait for RNS news....that's the best way to beat the market. The market as a whole will come around to your thinking.....eventually. "plough your own farrow"....?....you may find that the best companies have the very quietest bulletin boards too.....
Thanks everyone for their input. Yes I m mindful that the shorters almost certainly short several bundles of less than 0.5% holdings in order to stay under the declaration rule. Just to say I note India s growth rate is predicted to be 7.6% this year. And what do Indians do with their money.....buy gold !
BB....So let's get the mechanics of this right. Sometime back MW borrowed 0.02% from a third party. This of course would not be shown in daily trades. In the last few weeks 0.02% has been sold . They hope or design the outcome that the shares fall further . They buy back at a lower price. And in the future they sell at a higher price than the borrowed shares which they give back to the lender and they profit from having extra shares. Is that more or less how it works here? It's hard to fathom that one shorter holding just over. 0.5 % can make a difference. Other companies that have been shorted are usually attacked by several players and the shares they hold can amount to 10%.... I mthinking here of IQE And CREST....
On Sanne...Just to add...I always do a short tracker check..and it appears no shorts active above point five per cent disclosure level...Havnt we learnt to do that in the last six months?!
BB.....Never heard of Sanne. But have had a quick look at Morning Star report. It's turnover has nearly doubled 2017...profit of course up...and what I always like to see an excellent cash flow. And a world wide geographical spread so Brexit free. And like many of my best performing shares no bulletin board posts for the entire 2018 !! ...just one guy appearing now. So I bought £ 500 worth.... As the man behind Hathaway Berkshire says...Sell when everyone is buying and buy when everyone else is selling.....Are you feeling lucky BB ?
Ah very astute Strightly bricks! ...Punt on Abbey that is....I note that MSH even budged ever so slightly upwards....!...
Correction....SC....not SS...
Thanks for that reinforcement. But you must share the opinion that the current negotiations cannot fail. What will any suitor think if Nosettlement is reached after a second time I believe . ...the price Tag of "" okay we failed you have a go with this outfit "..... Not worth contemplating. SS...With you interests in SE London ...Have you noticed BMY have bought a large plot in Sydenham....Surely a positive tick for the future. Also TEF are up 25% in three months. And Crystal Palace put up a good fight against Liverpool....
Dear Mostlyharmless.... I have stopped taking too much attention of the trading numbers. These are algorithms...the compilers of these do not know here whether they are buys or sells . I believe it comes down what the sp is ...so it's guess work and therefore cannot be relied upon. I hope that helps explain what you see.....
Hello John.....Yes we have watched LTG plummet and now some rises . Although I was surprised to see the rises dispite the shorter positions remaining. That in itself stopped me from buying in . Any ways let's see what happens ....
Emylion..... Thank you so much for posting the notes about the smelter. Early last year I posted that the Tanzanian government had stopped the export of animal hides in a completed form mainly to Italy . They were then processed in Tanzania. And guess what , exports commenced again. I picked up on this in their own press. The idea of course to bring employment home. So of course the same logic applies to the smelter. The position on these bulletin boards was that a price that need not be paid. I think our dear supercharger was of this opinion....( I apologise SC if I m wrong ..I m a fan of your posts). So The gold is in Tanzanian territory and ACA have to abide to won who holds the cards. Further I am encouraged somewhat by the success of Shanti Gold a small producer in Tanznia. Their government relations continue to be good. More good precedent. 171 p as I write, time to buy in again ?!
Morning James....Although I bought TEF at 450 p I am confident that I won't loose ! But if I had the money I would be happy to buy BELVIEW...Gallard Try...probably not CRST with all the shorting going on there. I even had a punt on ABBEY ..a very small housebuilder. And while we ll at it why not Michelmersh ...all the builders will need British Bricks without tariffs ! These are great times to invest....
Morning Posters! I have a very small holding so haven't been researching this stock much. But I note that Investors Chronicle in their latest issue say the following " we recommended selling Lonmin s shares in March 2017 and continue to urge existing shareholders to close out their positions rather than take on Sibanye Stillwater s shares " . A Sale for me would incur a 40% loss. The question is whether this loss is likely to increase by hanging on?
On my mind is the following. The conceived wisdom is that a share price reflects the future earnings of the company. That it is a result of all known news and future expectations. In the case of ACA the expectation is that in the future it will be able to freely mine and export from Tanzania. Probably owned differently. So why are we so sure the share price will move much from where we are now? Some say it will "rocket" . (I have a feeing what some of the replies might mention but I think it a good exercise to focus our minds )....
Did some research for you...GFRD...10.39% yield...shall we pile in ?,!!....
The builders pay 5 to 9% ...CEY PAY 7.39% ...a gold miner....or try a bet on Whitbread ...the Board have stated that the proceeds of the sale of Costa to Coke will go to the shareholders but it hasn't been declared as such yet....
I totally agree. All those stand up comedians,journalists and about everybody else on the sidelines are there because it's very difficult to walk your talk. Can you imagine how difficult it is to negotiate with the 27 e u members a bit like the Argus with 27 heads. And did anyone spot the Northern Ireland border issue pre referendum ?? And hey the conservative majority depends on 9 ULster VOTES..if you put that in a novel the critics would say it wasn't realistic! Just let me add that the Dutch and Danish both had referendums ..they voted to leave the EU. . Both countries couldn't work things out.So ,guess what they had another referendum. It reversed the outcome in both countries. The moral is don't let the political elite bully the electorate to get what they want. We don't have revolutions here. But we do like to stir things up in other ways. We gave Oliver Cromwell eight years and that was enough,!
Thanks for that. I suppose when I use term junk I m referring to the sometimes miniscal share volume but giratory share price movement. Certainly the likes of Chronicle Investor and the FT have published glowing reports on this outfit. And over the last year we have read how Timberland has signed up to the technology . But then we are aware of the huge research costs ...the high h q costs. So do you think what are basically university academics got the commercial nauce to see this through?
Is this a junk share? Sorry to sound acidic but could someone who follows XSG perhaps outline how they see this company in 2019? Where is the silver lining ?