RE: Shorts @ 4.84%20 Dec 2023 20:01
It was meant to be five quid...but it was also meant to be a quick trade!
At that time, five quid was comfortably below the 200 DMA. Now 468p ish is the 200 DMA.
On this occasion, it has worked out well for me though, as (unplanned originally) I have had a further 8 trades in that time, and made a solid cumulative profit at the time of print.
Not quite on a free carry, and have not done the maths, as the position sizes have varied too, but quite satisfactory nevertheless.
The thing is - and this is not an attempt to 'de-ramp' - I really am quite bearish on the macro stuff.
A broken record and all that, as I have been for a while now. But, be that as it may, these are my concerns when it comes to recreational spending sectors.
I also did not like the funding deal the CEO here conducted earlier this year. Some unpleasant politics behind the scenes IMO. And that 10 quid offer that the BOD failed to share with the market at the time.
Putting it all together, is why this is a trade, rather than an investment, for me.
Not saying this will fail to go higher than 5 quid (if the BOD deliver, it should absolutely rise significantly). Markets continue to rise and shorts keep closing, should do so quite easily before news anyway IMO.
I am however pondering things. Might take a view in January, pre-update.
Right now, if we see 5 quid on no further news, I am likely to close out that last tranche.
Which will probably be a terrific buy signal for everyone else :)