Member Info for LuckyLuciano

....Just one more point my above assumption are all for debate, theses are unprecedent times, covid, QE, the war in Ukraine are all evolving situation by nature difficult to factor in.
But I am just wondering how much the Fed is interested to kill the economy with huger rate rise. There must be a point where the Fed will leave inflation prices to balance out with supply/demand...?!
No doubt current rate rises will come handy for the Fed, when they will need to be seen to do something to increase again economic activities....reduce rates...they may even increase rate faster now to get more ammunition, before inflation starts to ease....all will be revealed.

Nahhh not a chance, we're just at the tip of the iceberg with this recession, 5 + years of QE and insane borrowing during the pandemic......going to see an implosion of the economy
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lol....now that is a statement. Not even the most competent economists have a definite clue on where inflation and the economies are going next, and you get people coming out with this?????
You got to love investment boards....
Recession??? What recession. In Italy seaside resorts are fully booked for summer holiday at £ 30 per day 2 sun chairs and one umbrella. People are crowding airports and is difficult to find personnel, job market is tight etc.
In my modest view, high prices will be easily passed to consumer because of wages rise and low unemployment, you may get a bear marker but no recession, especially if Covid19 is under control obviously.
On the rise of interest, main cause imv is geopolitics and supply chain disruption due to covid and also because some big suppliers play the game....
Mainly is energy inflation, look at other commodities like iron, reaching peaks post covid and then coming down due to China policies intervention, or fundamentals....
Energy is different and possibly will be the one sticky inflation that can't be controlled.....
Too many players like high energy prices including USA.
Rate rise will please banks, high energy prices will increase profits on oil/gas exports (gas to Europe?) The Arabs can keep buying US debit with the massive profit from oil, and in the end in US energy still cost half the price we pay in Europe.
Can't see USA going in to recession.

Again I repeat one more time, HBR is repaying its debit/bond whatever...
How QE is going to affect HBR if by end of the year will be debit free and the same QE will have caused oil price at historical Hight?
Pl explain...

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/crude-oil-higher-opec-sticks-with-2022-demand-forecasts-2836853

.....or mayyyyyyybe you are suggesting we should all sell and buy US10 years at 3% ?

Rookie1
you surely have an agenda here, either you are short or like to get in cheap...I give you that and it is not what I debate with you, in the end is all to do with short or long terms time frame investment....
But to tell me I have not a clue when what you have been bringing to the debate table, are few headline news on QE, that are circulating for the last 15 years?????
Is that all you know about finance, and the economies?
Again your replies are empty insults trying to bring down my views, but I suppose is to difficult for you, to pick up from were I left and give some augmented reasoning, to move the conversation forward....
Keep trying pushing me down to make your case, by playing you broken record...

...also can I add that these useless comments on QE, bond rates and world finances, would be more inherent in other boards? Try maybe banks stocks, or forums on how to reverse the world capitalist system, or some Russian Gov. website.

IMV in stead of the usual headline on QE scaremongering headline news, one should bring about more information and more complex financial dynamics to make a point.
Its easy to wait for for the indexes to drop and then come out saying "I told you soo" as if someone is suffering from attention deficit disorders...
From my point of view it doesn't bring anything worthwhile to the debate on HBR future sp direction, and not even to general knowledge.....
But hey if you want me to give you a pack on your shoulder and say, well done mate you DO know a lot on the matter, congratulation....there you are , I said it.....

I don't know...maybe inflation will increase profits like in the case of HBR, and then bonds and debits will get payed?

It just trying to work out how EIG intended to make money from this new form of their cash cow?
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One way would be to provide edge arrangement....We are bleeding more than £1billion x year at these prices..

The money printing and QE of the last 15 years or so have NOT just pumped up the stock market.
Lots of these money have filtered trough the economies, creating jobs, increasing value of many types of assets, reinvested in new companies and enterprise and projects. Money move about.....
So the wealth (intrinsic and tangible) created by QE brings the market and value of assets to a higher level.
Is only the part of QE that has gone to repay debits that is dead money.
Indeed the most destructive part of QE is not QE itself, but the fact that it caused rich to get richer and poor to get poorer.
This is why many look at consumer spending power, unemployment, wages growth etc..
If inflation grows to 10% and wages and consumer spending power grows the same, its a no event, prices reset at higher levels....hopefully oil above $100/b.

This is why I think you are a financial illiterate:
Enter QE the mkts have followed the money printing all the way up since 2008.
Money printing stops the mkts stops
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Too simplistic my friend.

..anyhow lots of scary headline news out there. They want the market down to buy in for the next leg up......its been going on for ever.
I mean talks of famine in the world, because of Ukraine grain....what a loads of ******...
Alarmism to cause panic and volatility, the financial institution make billion out of volatility.
Hold tight and focus on oil price and geo-fundamentals

look at oil now shooting up...not sure why but I like it.

Beside HBR sp direction, I am looking at USD Index at 20 years high and POO at $120.
Just wondering when USD will start to come down a bit if it will push oil even higher.....
So much talking about inflation but in US price of gasoline, after recently almost trebling, is still half off Europe'
Unemployment is still at historical lows....as soon as the Fed will get a couple of CPI reading below recent highs, there will be talks of stopping tightening.
This in turn will mean risk on for the market especially at these or even lowers lows.....
Risk on will mean oil up and dollar down. Doesn't matter which way you see this oil seems in a sweet spot for the next few years.

Look mate is late and I am tired sorry.
I gave a quick read at "nature" article posted by Boristhecat
stopped at Abstract part.
It seems to me that in the study they found less cases of Myocarditis ect in people that have undergone vaccination, than people that have cached the virus....positive.
What that tells you?
It says that if you get covid 19 you have a higher chance to get Myocarditis ect...
Not that the vaccine will cause it.
I read it like this, but first you need to understand what you read to get there. Good night.

But what facts are you talking about .
If you can't even read and understand a simple article you posted?
I repeat pl tell me where in your initial link article it says that theses deaths are related to covid vaccine.
But answer this time don't change conversation....
I tell you what you have difficulty to admit that you got it all wrong...can you imagine the shame after all the rubbish you have been talking since now, on here and to your friends?

Maybe more and more young people are spending time looking at the mobile phone, eating and drinking sugary food, doing less and less exercises, drinking alcohol and becoming obese?
Are you one of them Rookie1 ?

What a clown.

My world here we have another mad one....
Rookie1
in the stupid article you posted there is no one word of reference to Covid vaccines.
And yet because you are so blindly convinced about your conspiracy theories you don't even realise that.
Not going to reply to you further. Just to let you know though I have spent all 2020 and 2021 in reading and studying virus and the many vaccine technologies, with the intent to invest and I did very well, thank you very much.
Indeed genetic engineering imv is the way forward to eradicate many dieses even if we are not there yet. Read about CRISPER technology