Shell forecast for EV11 Sep 2018 15:38
@addicknt may be the article was based on this report:
https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/the-energy-future/shell-energy-transition-report.html
"ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND IMPACT ON LIQUID FUELS Shell’s Mountains, Oceans and Sky scenarios show a rise in demand for electric vehicles (EVs) in the next few decades.
This trend is fastest in Sky, where more than half of global new passenger car sales are electric by 2030. By 2050, consumers in this scenario will not be able to buy an internal combustion engine (ICE) anywhere in the world.
As a result, the number of ICE cars will fall over time and the number of passenger kilometres driven on electricity will rise rapidly.
Combined with the impact of better mileage of the remaining ICE cars, this means global consumption of liquid hydrocarbon fuels in the passenger segment falls by 1.5-2 million barrels per day by 2030 compared with today.
This transition will happen at different paces in different parts of the world. In the Sky scenario, 100% of new car sales will be electric by 2030 in places such as China and Western Europe, and by 2035 in North America and some other parts of the Asia Pacific region.
Other countries, including India and those in Africa, take longer to make the change. This is partly due to the time it takes to build the power infrastructure required in those countries where the grid is still underdeveloped. "