RE: Its back of the envelope time14 Nov 2018 11:39
Thanks for the information
I am a bit lost on some of your more technical points, and admit I am not to concerned on the accounting aspects except where that may have a direct impact on the company finances - clearly that may be the case where accounting profits give rise to corporate taxation, although here I expect that the tax accounts differ from published accounts even where the latter are subject to Internationally accepted standards (which I imagine they are). I don't think any of us would profess to understand taxation in Turkey, and I for one am not intending to find out!
You may consider it simplistic but I think most here look at the viability of the company from a 'high level' perspective. What I look at is income from the processed material, costs of obtaining and processing that material, the outstanding JV loan and the repayment schedule for it, and whether the resulting balance provides sufficient funds for other company costs and proposed exploration in both the west and north east of Turkey - without further fundraising. I regard that as a prospective view, and one in which the prices of gold, oil, the Turkish economy/currency/inflation rates are also a concern. In that sense I would agree that the company financials are unlikely to remain constant over the next 18 months, although I think we mean it in different ways. Clearly the current JV loan should hopefully be repaid as planned by April 2020, although the profit from production to be enjoyed from that point will be short lived if the proposed development schedule for Tasvan is followed since one loan will be replaced with another after a few months.
I think we can agree on one thing, that is that no dividend is likely for many years, despite some people on the other board suggesting it. Again from my high level viewpoint any dividend payment would need to be paid from money currently earmarked for exploration - meaning that a fundraise would have to made to pay for the latter! From my non accounting viewpoint that essentially means the company would essentially be borrowing money to pay as a dividend. So it ain't going to happen!