Member Info for John33

But, but,..but you said only yesterday:-

"Topped Up yesterday by another 15009 ,, Should See £1+ end of the year,, Cheap as Chips"

What happened to that £1+ by the end of the year?

Six more months to be legally binding. Hope the board have not sold us short(pardon the pun) just to get some semblance of a deal over the line. As others have alluded to:-

A deal of sorts x5 loss making routes shortened by 3 yrs but still ongoing for another 4 years., that does not sound great.

The other two should now be profitable but it is as clear as mud when the whole shabang will be in profit.

Some of the more knowledgable may be able to shine some light.

And no mention of compo, the leaked news article suggesting 200m euro, was that some kind of pump & dump!

As much as I hope the SP continues to rally it might prove short lived.

50p please!

Off to lie down in a darkened room

But isn't it better to travel than arrive, in other words sell the news!

I would like to think the bottom is in but it's been such a dog so we will see.

I think this share has given me PTSD overthe last 2 years, so will the SP stick or meander downwards again.

SP is bound to retrace tomorrow

It's not clear or even confirmed officially but does it look like the compensation 200m is not just for MCG but to be distributed amongst all the train operators, so at best this is just putting all the operators on a sustainable footing

There is a concern completion of the of WM asset sale will realise an impairment as the diesel buses may not make book value. If so the net asset value will take another hit, we will have to wait and see.

Also WeDriveU had a couple of loss making contracts which came out of the blue, it's been one hit after another. The Germany, i think the next update is Feb 26, so a whole month to go.

It is a bit nerve wracking to see shorts increasing with the SP so low.

'Rob, that’s the problem. I think the market will probably just see a diminished balance sheet I.e. a hit on the capital assets for a comparatively small increase in cash.'

......................................................................

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce3k59py544o.amp

That was with reference to the WM Bus fleet sale to West Midlands Combined Authority, part of an earlier article, ie the diesel older buses which are part of the assets and the current uncertainty re. whether the they will be bought.

If the diesel buses are not taken on , do we expect a hit to net asset value because of the short fall, that's one negative that is playing on my mind until they rns the sale value.

Could land any day, should put a rocket up its ass.

Read it all or scroll to, 14. Outlook and Scenarios

https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/predictstreet-2025-12-11-mobico-group-plc-mcgl-navigating-a-transformative-journey-towards-sustainable-mobility

09/09/2025, Results for the six months ended 30 June 2025

German Rail discussions

'Discussions with the PTAs are progressing constructively. The parties have signed a joint exploratory paper on this matter and have exchanged drafts of possible supplementary agreements. The aim is to press ahead with the finalisation of these agreements to have the supplementary agreements become legally effective over the coming months.'

26/11/2025, Q3 Trading Update

German Rail

'Intensive discussions with the five PTAs have taken place over the past few weeks with all parties seeking to reach an agreement'

I'm hoping once Germany is resolved, they are also taking action on the UK, that the Cosmens with or without private equity will table a low ball bid 35-40p

The impression I got was they had more or less reached an agreement in principle and was very close to being signed so could be soon, it should shift sentiment,..lift the SP out of the doldrums.

Kingrav, have you done any research?

The Hybrid will be rolled over, they have already stated this in the Q3 update, first payment at a higher interest rate will be Feb 2027.

.............................................................

Update on Capital Structure

Mobico has decided not to exercise its voluntary option to redeem the Hybrid on the first call date.

In line with the terms of the Hybrid's prospectus, the coupon will reset in February 2026 to the new rate, which is derived from the five-year gilt plus the initial spread of 413.5bps. The first payment of the coupon at the higher rate is in February 2027

Resolution could land at any time baring in mind P White gave the impression that they are close to a conclusion that is satisfactory/amicable to all parties involved to put it on a sustainable footing,...meanwhile the SP is the largest faller on the All share index, oh well.

But where there is an option for train or bus on any given route encourage more people to take the train, faster and more comfortable?

I would have thought the Free Cash Flow was more important than the net profit and that has been quite healthy so you would think any sign of Germany/UK stabilising + WeDriveU should help to pay down debt which is what the market wants to see before letting this rip.

Phil White said cash flows from capital-intensive NASB could be better utilised elswhere, ALSA asset light model is favoured. They have no intention paying off all the debt just to lower it to a more comfortable level, covenant gearing.

Guess the market wants to see progress on this happening.

Will have to wait and see.

On 26/11/2025 they did state:-

"Intensive discussions with the five PTAs have taken place over the past few weeks with all parties seeking to reach an agreement."

.....................................

Does read as if an agreement could be reached very soon, could be the catalyst to mover the SP up, could do with some positive news.

Lowest volume for a long time maybe they have broken up for Xmas.

But, but Jumbo but,...but, we never get any good news here, it's been a perennial disappointment, we live

in hope.

One sole AT today are the bots/shorters on strike or just having a day off.