RE: D4E fantasy scenario12 Nov 2025 16:36
@Icecool You seriously live in fantasy-land with your rose-coloured glasses and several elves, goblins and fairies at the bottom of your garden! You obviously do not understand the seriousness of the Wood situation - it's all there in the financials. Of course, you cannot mention the financials as it's all bad! Instead you focus on a few disposals that were already earmarked and noted in the commentary in Wood's accounts, along with the 'purge' of Ken (no O&G experience) to be replaced with Iain (also no O&G experience) as CEO of Wood. You simply refuse to understand that Iain is no turn-around specialist or O&G guru. Iain is at Wood to ensure an orderly transition to Sidara. End of.
Icecool do you remember your other stock investment in TRX...? Of course you do - it keeps you awake every night! On Friday TRX released an RNS that stated 'It is now clear to the Senior Leadership Team that the Company has a substantial backlog of creditors, and very limited cash balances. Accordingly, the Company has an urgent need to raise capital by the end of November. Without additional funding the Company will not be able to continue to trade.' Update: TRX is sourcing agreement for a convertable loan note! End result: Debt for equity swap, and subsequent wipeout for current TRX shareholders! Well done on your 'investment' Icecool! Well done indeed.
Now fast forward to 17 November with the Wood vote...
Remember those words from TRX's statement. If Wood investors vote 'No' and it proceeds on that basis - as you (Icecool) are 90% sure the 90% 'No' vote will succeed - then it is highly probable that Wood will announce a similar RNS as TRX did within 7 days of the 'No' vote along these lines...
'Hi Wood investors, Iain here...gee wizz, sorry folks, we have realised we have indeed run out of cash, we can't afford to meet our payments, the piggy bank is empty...well we did warn you in our accounts and commentary that we desperately needed Sidara's cash of $450 million and our lenders' cash of $200 million...oh well, gee shucks...to keep afloat, er, um, well, how do I put this, well...we need to search the market for a convertable loan note...so hopefully you don't mind that we dilute you all to within an inch of your life! It could be worse, we could have gone into administration! After all...always look on the bright side of life...de dum,...'.
With a successful 'No' vote Not only is it probable that like TRX, Wood needs cash very, very quickly - within a maximum of 30 days via a convertable loan note...Wood's share price will tumble to circa 8-12p...quicker than you can say 'convertable loan no....'. Oops, too late!
Maybe then, Sidara will rise in once more on its horse to save the day...for the second time...before its too late!
JO has spoken.
All IMO of course.