RE: RNS Sidara higher offer speculation9 Nov 2025 13:20
Sidara have done their due dliligence. Wood's audited accounts were 'clean' and therefore a fair and reasonable indication of where Wood is at i.e. Woeful. Revenue is stable but slighly down, net debt over -$1 billion; and importantlt cash-flow is -$404 million as at HY2025. The FCA investigation is ongoing and will be for several more months. The recent disposals were already ear-marked and Wood and their lenders would be fully aware of these and where the funds will be attributed i.e. debt and liquidity.
Sidara's informal offer was 35p. Then formally lowered to 30p plus $450 million upon news of the FCA investigation into Wood.
Iain - Wood's current CFO and soon to be CEO (with ZERO leadership experience in the O&G sector!) - has made it crystal clear that if Sidara's offer of 30p is accepted, Wood's debts will be extented to October 2028 with a brand 'NEW MONEY' facility of $200 million, as well as Sidara's cash injection of $250 million immediately followed by $200 million upon completion. This is Wood's chance to turnaround.
If Sidara's offer is not accepted, Iain has made is crystal clear that Wood lender's will extend debt to a the very short timeframe of October 2027 with NO 'New Money'...and that a credit scheme will need to be arranged! This is the best that Iain who is highly experienced in finance arrangements has been able to achieve from Wood's lenders. If this does not scare off Wood's investors, then nothing will. In this scenario, Wood's lenders will provide a minimal debt extention, no 'New Money' facility. Therefore, Wood will need to raise cash and very, very quickly. From a corporate finance perspective, that will be extremely difficuilt...to start with Wood has not been cash-flow positive since 2017 to date...NINE (9) long years! The most Wood can hope for is a debt-to-equaity swap. Current Wood shareholders will be diluted so badly that Sidara's offer of 30p (although laughed at by many PI who long for the days when Wood's share price was over £2 days) will seem like a dream offer.
I have thought about this, and now that we have seen Wood's audited accounts and commentary around it, I cannot see that Sidara will come out with a better offer. Why? Because Sidara is effectively already buying Wood for $2.2 billion i.e circa $200 million (i.e. 30p per share to investors), $450 million cash injection (i.e. to boost the balance sheet for Wood's lenders, and for liquidity), and takes over Wood's debt pile of over $1.5 billion. That is a huge sum or level of risk for a business that has been cash flow negative for nine straight years.
I think if the vote to Sidara's offer is 'No', then Sidara will shrug their shoulders, walk away and carry on as buiness as normal. Wood will simply be left out in the cold.
Unless a Wood RNS is made re another bidder before COB Tuesday 11 November (and so far there is no indication of such) via RNS release, then I will vote 'Yes' for the Sidara deal on Wednesday 12 November.