What the Markets do not Like ??31 Jul 2022 14:29
Good Afternoon Everyone,
well that was another interesting week.
We finally acquire Cuda ,
But the markets do not like the new status of the company.
From the RNA ,
“Provides significant leverage to COPL increasing the Company's NPV10 (47% working interest adjusted) by US$122 million from US$258 million (COPL December 31, 2021 NI-51-101 Reserves) to US$380 million.”,
“Increases COPL's 2P reserves by 47% from 25.8 million (COPL December 31, 2021 NI-51-101 Reserves) to 38.2 million barrels”
From the the Q2 Results,
“COPL's operating netback was $48.53/bbl., before the net realized gain or loss on crude oil and butane hedge contracts as compared to $41.21/bbl. in Q421.”
So they were clearly not impressed with the increase in potential netbacks of $601.77m on top of the $1.2 Bn potential netbacks we already held for the BFU & Cole Creek before the net realized gain or loss on crude oil and butane hedge contracts . ( Or maybe my Calculator is not working again )
They were similarly not impressed with,
“Earlier this year, COPL commissioned Ryder Scott to conduct a Canadian NI 51-101 compliant resource assessment of the major discovery the Company announced to the market in January 2022 its assessment of an estimated total reservoir volume of 1.5-1.9 billion barrels of Oil in Place ("OIP"), of which 1.2-1.6 billion barrels of OIP underlays COPL lands. The Company expects Ryder Scott to confirm these findings when it publishes the report next week.” also from the RNA.
So we can conclude that the markets are not at all interested in or impressed by potential or asset values.
Fortunately though,
we are are shortly to move from the red and into the black as far as earnings are concerned,
the now unhedged increased WI and AM's hands being untied as regards to fixes and upgrades for the BFU will see to that .
Once production starts to increase and profitability emerges ,
all of the above will be seen in a very different light.
Oh did I forget to mention that a RBL ,
and a successful start to the delineation process will make the hopefully by then profitable BFU and CC,
pale into insignificance.
Come on Arty ,
take the gloves off and show us what your really about.
By the way,
I would like the RS report to be put on the website after close of play here on Friday with the news report / interview released at the same time.
Giving time at the weekend for reflection ( or for some sweaty palms lol ).
GLA