Sprat To Catch a Mackerel21 Sep 2021 23:14
The second part of hopefully a Trilogy hopefully,
Before I start these are just thoughts not predictions.
THE SPRAT:
COPL and AM of course is the sprat , AM in the past has said he would like to build a billion dollar or even better a
billion pound company , but no disrespect to him time is not on his side,
He has made a brilliant purchase in Atomic,and is trying to maximise its potential as quickly as he can ( within the
constraints specified by the senior lender ), he is showing great judgement , the miscible flood way ahead of original
predictions , the hedging of gas prices for 5 years ( could turn out to be a masterstroke the way gas prices are rising ).
The new discovery in the deep unit which could also be transformational ( with multiple plays and opening up nearby
federal leases as well and other subsequent drills in a schedule down the line and possible acquisitions of other
leases nearby. Cole Creek opening up already prepared but as yet unused wells.(and more drilling to come )
Trying to maximise everything he can as fast as he can (not helped by the FCA keeping us in suspension for so
long)
.
WHY
THE MACKEREL.
As mentioned above AM would like to build a billion pound company , the quickest way to achieve this in addition to
Atomic would be to pull of his original plan ( and the reason I joined this merry band lol ) , NIGERIA , although we
are hampered by poor government from there,delay after delay + Covid , they now realise if they do not get their act
together they may miss the boat altogether.
Bill finally passed ,licenses changed to speed up production or they are forfeited ,so our joint partner Essar will want
to move quickly if 226 is reinstated , well head already established so only production testing required ( presumably
1 st oil in the agreement between us and them ), so then uprate of licence and on to full production.
This leaves AM with a headache , dump Nigeria possobly sell 10% or find a lot of cash to fund 10% and even more to
fund 30 % and on to be the billion pound company and the multibag share we would all love to have.
To achieve this he will need luck with the timing, ii's and financial institutions on board that trust his steward ship and
judgement,and most importantly his good news at strategic moments and to best advantage.
We know he has been talking to ii's and the like ( just to get the share price moving maybe ) but maybe he has a
BIGGER PLAN, if this means some getting in on the cheap for a brighter future for us all then so be it.
I am as frustrated as everybody else with the machinations of he market and for the last couple of days
compounded with more global aspects, but it will be worth the wait,
GLA to all the coplers, maybe Arty is doing a better job than we understand at this time.