RE: Tweet19 Nov 2020 09:05
Spedders I agree, it may eventually be the case that covid and its vaccines do become like the flu, but only once herd immunity is reached (70% of population successfully vaccinated?) and there is good data about how long that immunity lasts and what effect mutations have. That is going to take a very long time - I would guess easily more than a year - and a lot of testing. Even at that point, testing will still be crucial in certain situations, such as hospitals and care homes. The big difference between flu and covid is the high level of asymptomatic occurrences, so regular testing of HCP's would seem important, also I would see it like MRSA in hospitals where great care would need to be taken prior to surgery etc. Following on from this pandemic, as Morningsun said, we need to be well prepared for the next and that means being able to mobilise mass testing at short notice.
Further into the future, did you hear Matt Han**** on Monday when he spoke about the investment in diagnostics in the NHS? He described the mega labs as "a permanent part of the UK's new diagnostics industry'...not just for this pandemic but longing to the future'. This is a massive investment in the NHS and a step change in its strategy and I believe Novacyt is at the heart of it. Its NPT machines, such as PCR, can test for a whole list of conditions, including cancer. Once embedded in the NHS this diagnostic capability will be key and Nova will be hugely cash rich very soon, making it able to diversify into other areas in the medium term.