back of the fag packet calks.20 Oct 2016 16:38
. Would anyone care to value the company?
Here is my take on it.
1, I assign a high enterprise value because of its high capital barrier to entry capex, stable industry compared to tech etc, mixed customers, market leader in costs, quality product. so I give this a multiple of 10 over profits..
2, I expect the company will make $180m to $240m next year but I'll play safe and call it $200m. So this gives a value of $2,000,000,000. Let's remove the debt and interest from that - $900m and this leaves an actual value of $1,100,000,000.
3, the current Market Cap is $900,000,000. so we have about 22% upside left here. I hear the company is pushing on next year with new mining areas but hey I'm not adding that, that's cream, and we don't count cream until it rises.
That's it guys. having bought in at 38p I have taken a lot off the table and will slice more to average out regardless of SP direction.
I would like others to give there valuations here please.