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https://editorial.rottentomatoes.com/article/most-anticipated-movies-of-2022/

We now have fair bit of numbers/stats to give us a pointer of what to expect from H2 2021 for Cineworld and the wider Cinematic industry.
Vastly improved from last 18months with still work to do.

From company's latest release 2021 Box Office AND Concessions revenue as % 2019:
Group, US, UK & Ire, ROW
JULY 50, 45, 54, 79
Aug 54,45,76,70
Sept 60,54,72,78
Oct 90,80,127,84

From Box Office Mojo box office ONLY 2021 as % of 2019 for entire industry:
US, UK
July 45,39
Aug 50,69
Sept 53, 63
Oct 80,124
Nov 55,68
Dec * 75- 80, 62+

* Some numbers yet to filter through for more accurate %

From this I have noted US B.O.M and Cine numbers roughly tie for July - Oct so not unreasonable to expect similar November and December.

UK Cine figures consistently higher by some % points (possibly due at least in part to higher concessionary spend per person in particular in UK).

ROW more difficult to get details and possibly not worth effort considering share of company's revenues from area.

From memory company was targeting c. 90% of 2019 levels by Q4/year end.
I think October and December were/will for group be at or very near (little under that).
November bit weaker.

The whole Q4 when also considering as yet unquantified cost reductions, mix per company/region of premium ticketing, possibility of improved or worsening share of market (don't think anything out there to suggest any material change on this one) is reasonable likely to come in near (very near) but little under (IMHO) the company base case 90%

Close enough under or over to not matter particularly and basically company overall about on target.

Results day will confirm for sure where we are.

Awwra best when it comes sammy :-)

They are no different from a visit to the pub or reading a paper with 10's or hundreds of journalists.
Off course there will be a variety of different views.
The only surprise for me is so much discussion in here happens from the articles and different authors having different views.

RS2002,
Those are the North America box office stats, not Global.
Couple days still to go so will be slightly better yet.
In fairness the market and everyone else has been able to track the performance pretty accurately from that source throughout year.
As noted previously their stats tie fairly well with those released from Cine.

It does mean that for US market we are behind the company's own base case published in previous accounts.
However other territories (smaller ones to be fully open) have faired better and we have seen higher concessions and as yet unknown levels of savings from cost cutting exercise.
So we may be at or around what company was hoping for on its base case forecasts.

£1:24 in March of this year with same/similar levels of debt in response Chilston.

Jed, which previous appeals/legal text did you get that from? With a successful appeal Cineworld expect to pay at least 50% current level. Or is it just a completely made up fantasy to spin negativity? ;-)

Or he may be overseeing the biggest money making areas for the business.

Or as king Eric says.

Just such a nice summary of the debt is included in a single page for ease of studying when you look at company reported accounts.
I took a screenshot of it, can't remember the page number.
Anyone seriously invested or interested should be prepared to "dyor" and spend a few minutes (no hours required here).

Metom, Don't worry then as we have cartoon spider next year. Also have a panther, a bat, some dinosaurs, those almost humanlike avatar things and few others :-)

I would also argue that a number of those small sample I listed DO fit well with premium format screenings.

In two posts gone from "far from previous standards" to "cautiously optimistic"
I will take that, I think it's a reasonable place to be as a LTH here just now.

My list was far from a definitive list of all potential strong earners, but a flavour to suggest c. $600m to $700m US box office per month q1 perfectly achievable.
Cineworld according to their most recent update and box office mojo figures suggest we are pretty much taking our margin share with no dramatic variances.
Time answers all, let's see how next 3 months play out. Happy to revisit when facts are in place

Happy to add bits here and there both positive and negative when got the time and facts Bonkers :-)
Hoping more positive than negative lies ahead for me to chip in with ;-)

December on course to be very close to pre covid 5 year average for month (likely just short).
Doing so looks like being 50% higher than October which was our highest grossing month of year until we got Spidey.
December ending over $900m will be c. 90% of the WHOLE first half of 2021!!!
Thank God we have no shortage of Marvel and other VERY successful high grossing franchise movies lined up next year and beyond :-)

rehpyc,
I see Spiderman having legs into January adding strongly still to overall box office.
Then a few we have in Q1:
The Batman
Morbius
Uncharted (Tom Holland, you know spiderman )
The 355
Downton Abbey
Death on the Nile
Scream

There are others and will very possibly be some we don't already have on our radars adding to box office.
2019 I think was c. $2.4bn in US so let's see. Something $1.8 - $2bn would be decent and very achievable I believe.

Is ity memory?
I have it in my head that he/the company already did just that, not 2 weeks ago.
The company intend to appeal the ruling and are off the opinion no monies will be paid while that process is in action.

Mountainous not for the US market they didn't. That's why I noted higher level in other markets and as I say if you compare Cine announced percentage and box office mojo they are very much in line.
Infact I believe that in response to email from Bonkers or sammy the company even mentioned how performance could be reasonably well tracked by using said site/information freely available.
Good NY to you when it comes.

Happy New Year to you and your family when it comes too Bonkers.
Not an awful lot we haven't covered many many times before to discuss and life a bit busier hence less posts from me last few weeks (possibly still too many lol).

Mountainous
As you correctly say in your analysis some over simplification.
Also a mix of using data supplied by company and "sentiment talk from CEO".
The data used for July - October is good focus, November and December should use similar basis.
From company data if you look at the biggest market and percentages they use there they generally tie in very well with those of Box Office Mojo for the whole market in North America.

Company states:
July 45% Aug 45% Sept 54% Oct 80%

B.O.M. states:
July 45% Aug 50% SEP 53% Oct 80%
It then has Nov 54.5%
Dec. on track for 75 - 82% it seems.

Realise other areas e.g. UK performing stronger and concessions etc. However the basis to build from B.O.M. seems fairly solid.
From that I think you are rather over inflating hopes for November and December.

Progress continues nicely though on B.O. and Spiderman is huge success which hopefully if it's the US market as LPD has rightly highlighted many times before.

US box office for q4 set to be pretty much equal to the entirety of 2020.