RE: HAS ANYTHING REALLY CHANGED10 Feb 2023 11:30
El Professor, comments in line. Yours in quotation, my comments after the >
' If NewGen are the the primary creditor they will take precedence over all else. '
>True
' If Elemental under their deal are classified as a creditor too then they would presumably be behind NewGen for payment. '
>True
' If that is the case why would NewGen let money go out the door to Elemental? '
> Agreed however the timings don't stack entirely. While NewGen would request or insist that other creditors aren't repaid as they are first secured lender over the asset; RMM have said today (first time this is mentioned) that no sale and delivery of refined gold has occurred for the financial quarters ended September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2022.
Payments to the company's principal secured creditor (NewGen) wasn't due to commence until 31 October 2022.
RMM made their update on the financial position 27th October, ahead of the default against NewGen.l as they would have had to.
I'm not convinced RMM would have had to issue an RNS against the gold streaming deal in q3 or even q4 as it was a commitment to fulfil gold supply on an annualised basis. So on a technicality they likely didn't 'have' to issue this until a point they knew that the supply deficit couldn't be met by production for the remainder of the annual term. It's still not an excuse and they've had ample time to inform the market of these constraints.
So in short RMM weren't in default until 1st Nov, after not paying 31/10 and only notified the market on 27/10.
So not supplying anything under the gold stream for q4 starting Oct overlaps fine in terms of NewGen having powers after the default, but not for the Q3 period ending 30th Sept.
In terms of so what's changed. IMO it suggests that the presumption Rambler didn't have a hold on its finances when they were suggesting all is okay was wrong.
It's possible it's something else but the most likely reason they didn't supply anything to elemental on the stream agreement in Q3 (before NewGen default) was because they either a) needed the gold revenues for their balance sheet to run the mine (opex/capex), or NewGen requested it didn't supply the gold.
In which case RMM would have been engaged with NewGen about the risk of default way before they announced the balance sheet risk to the market.
Either scenario, after today's RNS, doesn't promote a very good view of RMM.
Anyway that's my two pence
Atb