RE: Patience is a virtue11 Nov 2022 10:13
not rubbish @Allycat1 ... just the market has not woken up yet
There was much hype 4 years ago, lots piling in and then serial under-delivery and plain over-optimistic claims. A large dose of reality has, in the past few months, hit home and now the focus will finally be on stability, cost control and cash generation (not least to clear down Orion).
You only have to look at the near daily posts on either a new large VRFB project, progress or commissioning to see it is finally gaining real traction. The Mini-grid is so very important. One of the reasons RedT failed (IMO) was that it had no working example to demonstrate the claimed benefit and cost (and that crook Scott did a fund raise with much of the cost supposed to build one and then just pocketed the cash for operational expenses)
Lithium systems took a long time also people forget - only when real world examples were there, hard numbers could be seen, and operational reliability assessed did it start gaining traction. Same is happening in the VRFB space. But is hampered (I think) by the fact it is straightforward tech and intellectual property that gives material advantage is not that high..
Good luck to your shorting, and I don't doubt there will be plenty of chance to do that again as SP rise will not be a straight line and will be blown up by sentiment to a point of over-blow and drop repeatedly .... The rest of us LTH's will just do a Buffet: keep accumulating and hold !
Been a nice gentle +14% steady rise all week .... A bit early to say sentiment has changed, but we do know that the BE spin out is looking strong for year end and that will generate lots of interest
I think Flow systems suffered greatly due to Covid and have essentially been put back at least 2 years... but irrespective of traction gaining next year, every gram of Vanadium processed can be sold at a strong and healthy margin, with all indications being that market pricing will gain rather than fall- not many companies are in that position
GLA