RE: Valuation issues1 Sep 2025 15:31
I'm putting US funding at a 50% chance for Hypromag USA personally, which I think could come in the form of state financial grants, DoD grants or both. I think Myles was referring to a wider DoD deal by the 30th August, rather than just grant funding. Cotec suggested that they have applied for between 50% and 100% grant funding and that there are multiple avenues / funding pots that they have become aware of. A few pertinent bits from the Management Discussion on the subject of Hypromag USA funding.
"On 12 June 2025, HyProMag USA received a MMIA domestic finance letter of interest from the U.S. EXIM Bank for its first integrated rare earth recycling and magnet making facility in Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas. In terms of the letter, EXIM may be able to consider potential financing of up to US$92 million of the project’s costs with a repayment tenor of 10 years. The issuance of this letter of interest is aligned with Executive Order 2421 of 20 March 2025 “Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral Production” which includes near-term actions to be determined and implemented by the agencies to fast-track permits, mobilise capital for mineral producers, and create offtake agreements for strategic stockpiling for minerals critical to the United States’ defense, technology, and energy."
The fact that they quote the executive order is interesting, with a mention of creating offtake agreements for strategic stockpiling of critical minerals. Could be hinting at something here.
"CoTec was responsible for funding the US Feasibility Study and the project development costs. Funding provided by CoTec is in the form of shareholder loans to HyProMag USA. In parallel, HyProMag USA is working on securing U.S. Government funding, U.S. state financial grants and incentives and strategic partnerships with U.S. companies for feed supply and recycled NdFeB magnet offtake."
The thing is, at current market prices, without any grants, EXIM loans or tax credits, Hypromag USA is going to make a tonne of money. So for me the grants are just a cherry on the top. If it was a choice, I would probably prefer a price floor and guaranteed offtake deal as per the MP Materials / DoD deal. Imo this would do more to de-risk the project in the long term than a grant. Either would be amazing though.