RE: Market response to today’s results13 Jul 2020 23:15
Hi Mike,
Thanks for clarifying the question. When I said H1 financials should be stunning I was referring to when they go into more detail on 04 Aug at the interims on the financials for the first half of this year. From today we already have a bit more detail: H1 Production 255k oz, Q2 average price of gold realised $1731, Q2 AISC of $900, (so $831 per oz profit or $415 per oz after profit share), Q2 revenue of $227M (54% up YoY ) and interestingly cash held, as at the end of June of $367M and this after paying out the May dividend. In short I would expect on 04 Aug a reiteration of just how healthy a financial position they are in and a good interim dividend to be announced for Sep. Interestingly a few years back (can't remember if 2016 or 2017) they were holding too much cash so paid out a special dividend which took the total to the year to c15c. I wonder whether we could see this again next month as they will be generating a lot more cash this quarter with POG now above $1800.
With regard to H2 Production well guidance for full year go 510-525k would mean 255-235k oz. Notwithstanding their explanation of delayed maintenance from Q2 to Q3 being behind a massive outperformance in Q2 I can't help but feel management are desperate to keep expectation down so they can excel. I was disappointed to hear 510-540k become 510-525k and still like to think they might well exceed this.
What do you reckon?
Best wishes,
Prof