Presentation30 Jan 2015 11:45
This looks good on paper but read the
disclaimer which clearly indicates OIP and
recoverable somewhat less, as mentioned by
myself yesterday. Seems from the well OPEX
and CAPEX that they have costed in the
present conventional horizontal drilling to
come out at $45-50 per bbl, but if they use
instead the new octopus system which is both fibre optic & computer controlled this
cost should reduce costs significantly. It will
take six wells per acre and is cleaner, quieter
and cheaper so should help profits. The
shale wells usually deplete at about 85% per
year so you need to keep drilling new ones
so the octopus will help with that also. The
conventional wells deplete though at 5% per
year so are much cheaper. We will now
have to await the cash call presumably next
month to get s clearer picture but my guess
(and its only that at this stage) is $60 mln or
perhaps a little more. It depends very much
on the J/V agreement which is not public.
Food for thought. !!