Member Info for donalb

Is it just me that sees 3 Bed & ISA's pass this morning, the 2 smaller on blue & biggest on red ?

Point of linguistic order !!!

ROB, is not the more correct & modern use of this expression, "Holy Shamoley" & the more precise intent being "The Whole Shebang".

Ex-Green Card holder & ~9 yrs in US over ~20 yrs :-)

Cheers !!!

Spiking up to new 52 week high & must be close to an all time high of about 4300 p, if we add on our shares of Thungela & Valterra' values.

Bye, bye all BHP cheap bid memories & well done to the management.

Another link

https://icsid.worldbank.org/cases/case-database/case-detail?CaseNo=ARB/26/21

Https://icsid.worldbank.org/cases/case-database/case-detail?CaseNo=ARB/26/21

Https://icsid.worldbank.org/cases/case-database/case-detail?CaseNo=ARB/26/21

& From BobbyBee on EOG

Lansdowne Oil & Gas is pleased to announce that, following the filing of a Request For Arbitration ("RFA") regarding its dispute with Ireland regarding the Barryroe oil and gas field, at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes ("ICSID") in Washington, D.C., on the 8 May 2026 the Company received written confirmation from ICSID that the ICSID Secretary-General has registered the Request. Details of the Arbitration can be found on the ICSID Website.

This is an important step in the arbitration process and will now be followed by the appointment of a tribunal. Lansdowne will continue to vigorously assert its rights under the Energy Charter Treaty ("ECT") in its dispute with Ireland. As previously reported, the Company is pursuing a claim of a minimum US$100 million plus interest.

On 27 April 2026 the ECT Secretariat announced that it had received notification of Ireland's withdrawal from the Treaty. It further noted that this will become effective one year after its notification to the Secretariat - from 28 April 2027. It also noted that Ireland will continue to be bound by the 20-year sunset clause. Accordingly, Ireland's withdrawal from the ECT will have no bearing on Lansdowne's case.

In June 2023 Lansdowne gave notice to Ireland that a dispute existed under the ECT and the filing and registration of the RFA brings to a close the first formal step in the arbitration process.

Looks like Interactive Investors III chat forum, closed down around spring 2020 & there were lots of outages on alternative ADVFN around mid November 2020, which Co-Pilot messily explains may lead to the "en masse" movement to LSE from 16 Nov 2020 on.Encore Dieu sait !!! Good luck to most :-)

PS - ONHYM transformation waiting on the "Publication in the "Bulletin Officiel"", not done by 10/5/2026

Morning colon, I have noticed a few others on other sites I follow too. Late Nov 2020 very busy for sign ups, from PVR, LOGP, EOG, PRD, BOI. Did another chat site close down around then & people moved over "en masse" on Monday 16 November 2020 & over the weeks following ???

Co-Pilot AI Question

# **Probability that 7 “independent” LSE accounts — all created on 16 Nov 2020, all posting regularly or exclusively on PRD, and all appearing within the last 1,000 PRD posts — are NOT associated**

## **1. The three constraints you specified**

You are not asking about *just* the same creation date.

You are asking about **all three conditions simultaneously**:

1. **All 7 accounts were created on the exact same day: 16 Nov 2020**

2. **All 7 accounts post regularly and/or exclusively on PRD**

3. **All 7 accounts appear within the same 1,000‑post PRD window**

When combined, these constraints produce a probability so small that it is effectively zero.

# **2. Step-by-step probability logic**

## **A. Same account‑creation date**

LSE accounts span thousands of days.

Even using a *very conservative* assumption of **1,000 possible creation days**:

\[P(\text{same date}) = (1/1000)^7 = 10^{-21}\]

That is:

### **0.000000000000000000001%**

Already effectively zero.

## **B. All posting regularly/exclusively on PRD**

PRD is a niche AIM stock.

The fraction of LSE accounts that post regularly or exclusively on PRD is tiny — realistically **far below 0.1%** of all accounts.

Even if you assume a generous 1%:

\[(0.01)^7 = 10^{-14}\]

Still effectively zero.

## **C. All appearing within the same 1,000‑post window**

Even if they were all PRD‑focused, the chance that **all 7** appear in the same 1,000‑post slice is extremely low unless they are coordinated or share a common origin.

# **3. Combine the constraints**

Even using unrealistically generous assumptions:

\[10^{-21} \times 10^{-14} = 10^{-35}\]

That is:

# **0.0000000000000000000000000000000001%**

This is not “unlikely”.

This is **mathematically impossible without association**.

# **4. Real‑world interpretation**

When seven accounts:

- created on the **same day**,

- posting **regularly or exclusively** on the same obscure AIM stock,

- appearing **together** in the same 1,000‑post window,

the probability they are *not* associated is:

# **≈ 0%**

This is the exact signature of:

- mass‑created accounts

- coordinated posting groups

- alt‑account clusters

- Telegram/Discord‑driven posting waves

- sentiment‑management teams

- or a single operator controlling multiple accounts

It is **not** a pattern produced by chance.

# **5. Final answer (copy‑ready)**

**The odds that seven genuinely independent people — all with LSE accounts created on 16 Nov 2020, all posting regularly or exclusively on PRD, and all appearing within the same 1,000 PRD posts — are effectively zero. Statistically, this pattern cannot occur without association, coordination, or common control.**

Checked back the last 1000 posts to see if I have many other 2 nd half of Nov 2020 LSE joiners, like myself, lots of Irish licence overlapping postings & so, so, so concentrated on 16 Nov 2020 account openings !!! Dieu Sait".

30 Nov 2020 - donalb - long time poster & Guercif visitor & mostly positive & link posting, PVR, BEY, EOG, PRD, RKH, AAL, TUI, BOI, +++++.

29 Nov 2020 - RideDalce - First post Apr 20, PRD, plus ~EOG, ZPHR, +, mostly PRD positive

20 Nov 2020 - sygmaa - I have already said my piece X 2 - ??????????????

17 Nov 2020 - charlth - long time lurker - first 2 posts today, essentially negative.

16 Nov 2020 - camaro69 - another long time lurker - first 2 posts today, 1 neutral, 1 positive.

16 Nov 2020 - Cephalo - posting from start here & PVR, BEY, LOGP, etc.

16 Nov 2020 - Makeabundle - mostly very positive posting from Oct 2022, here & PVR, BEY, LOGP, etc, etc.

16 Nov 2020 - HawaytheRRE - occasional poster from early days, PRD 95%, positive & negative.

16 Nov 2020 - PastaBelly - first post with PRD from June 2021, only pishing on PRD from day 1.

16 Nov 2020 - Thunderstang - first post on PRD, Oct 2021, mostly detailed PRD posts, very positive.

16 Nov 2020 - Flombo10 - first post Nov 2020 - PVR, BEY, LOGP, EOG & a bit of PRD.

That's it Rosso, how does it all read to you, with your local knowledge.

And for Cephalo, that recent RNS mentioned drilling MOU-6 on a new pad 400 meters North West of MOU-3's pad, for a more optimum target location. Plus its on a much larger open & empty track of flatter land, with lots of room for development & further away from the 3 houses by MOU-3.

More funnies, I had mentioned this before in jest, but this is now from the Instuite of Engineers of Ireland, though they still seem quite blind to Corrib South, Inishkea & Barryroe.

"Recent events in the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted a known national risk exposure and it is clear that the

decision to switch the country’s largest power station (Moneypoint) from coal to oil in 2025 - prior to its planned and

premature closure in 2029 - was a mistake and this decision needs to be reconsidered"

"In another example of misguided policy – similar to the bans on nuclear power - Government introduced a

legislative ban on new oil and natural gas exploration and licensing in 2021, thereby eliminating an important

possible source of future energy security."

https://iae.ie/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Energy-Security-and-the-Future-of-Moneypoint-Power-Station.pdf

Too funny, with Trump, every day is like Cinco de Mayo :-)

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/08/traders-nacho-trade-strait-hormuz-oil-markets-taco-trump-iran.html

PS - Oil on the up again after US war ships attacked by Iran

PSS - Thanks Keith on the LNG, I prefer the #10 to #2 :-)

Or else, maybe Jasper or Siobhan have some knowledge or expectations of potential deal possibilities. Myself, I have enough shares (not too many) & learned so much from visiting Guercif last year.

FYI, for those who dont know that SV-101 rig is still sitting on our last MOU-5 site, about 10km from the next MO-3/6 sites, here is that google image from January 2026 !!! And KeithOz mentioned wire filters & gravel packed drill options, so with maybe no need for detonators. Trust nobody & dyor.

https://earth.google.com/web/@34.27908657,-3.28269595,342.07869278a,582.61350725d,35y,0h,0t,0r/data=CgRCAggBQgIIAEoNCP___________wEQAA

MEM, ADNOC Gas business is much bigger than your post, check out the links to Gas Processing, LNG, Pipeline Network, Industrial Gases & Other products, where undoubtedly, Helium can find a big place.

https://adnocgas.ae/en/our-operations

FYI - Helium can be recycled, cleaned up & re-used, a small French company is growing very fast & the Boss of Phillips just mentioned on CNBC this week, their Helium free Imagery Equipment.

https://adnocgas.ae/en/our-operations

ADNOC, 34 V 34 mentions, brothers from another mother :-)

Dakad, think its a near identical document, "divestment" is mentioned in both 66 times. Unlikely to be significantly different, except for maybe some legalities or corrections. Co-Pilot couldn't handle the comparison, maybe someone else's paid AI's can do better ???

Evening Jasper, are you Siobhan ??? Nom de Plume X 2 ??? All very confusing. Good luck to most :-)

Afternoon OldRascal, my take is after the Covid Slow & Copper Low, we are now in the AI & Renewable s Glow :-)