Fundamental facts26 Sep 2024 18:55
Are that this stock remains materially overvalued at £28m MC.
Still heavily loss making. If we’re to assume (generously) that they can match their H1 revenue in H2 (you can disregard Newlands forecast of £3m) that makes annual revenue of £2m.
£28m / £2m = a Price to Sales ratio of 14. That is very high. As an investor you want to see a lower PS ratio. The exception would be in the case of a company where revenue is growing rapidly. That has clearly, emphatically, not been the case here.
There’s no doubt in my mind that unless they can quickly produce substantial growing revenue this will drop another 50%, maybe more. Plus, you have them burning shedloads of cash every month.
There are clearly many who have jumped on board today - many are just traders admittedly- but anyone ‘investing’ at these prices thinking it’s bargain basement better think again.
Until, or unless, Newland can actually produce a contract with substantial monetary value ; NONE of the contracts or agreements so far have produced more than negligible amounts of anything this will continue to slowly bleed to death.
Newlands shpiel today was a desperate attempt to drum up a bit of interest because he knows the end of the road is in view. Once they are down to under 5p further dilution and there WILL be at least one and probably two or more cashcalls (and they need big cash calls to finance this) the sheer scale of dilution will obliterate share capital here completely.
This is VERY high risk. Once again it’s a matter simply of do you trust what Newland tells you? For the answer to that is simple. Look at his track record. This leopard will never change its spots.