Not good reading28 Jun 2018 21:41
GMP FirstEnergy kept “hold” advice on Ophir Energy while arguing that the explorer is “ripe for a takeover”. It named Premier Oil, Genel Energy and Soco International as logical buyers at the right price. Schlumberger this month pulled out of Ophir’s joint venture over the Fortuna gas project in Equatorial Guinea, which faces a December deadline to finalise the development plan or lose the licence.
“With Fortuna at risk, the company’s strategy is in shambles,” said GMP. “Looking at the company through the eyes of a predator, Ophir’s resources lack scale for a major or a national oil company (NOC). With limited visibility on non-NOC Chinese buyers, we have therefore focused our analysis on other international exploration and production companies. We do not find the shares particularly cheap and therefore believe that a paper deal (with at best a small premium) would be more likely than a cash deal. Under such circumstances, there would need to be a very clear strategic fit with a potential buyer, or the acquisition would need to address a specific situation that a potential buyer is facing.”