Member Info for Danger_Mouse

Yes, even in the absence of news, the technical indicators suggest the share price is more likely to rise than fall.

More cerfisticated trend reversal is "CONFIRMED" using a combination of SMA: https://www.tradingview.com/x/rgqEPizv/

I can share the code here if anyone wants it for their trading view:

//@version=5

indicator("Recovery Indicator", overlay=true)

// Daily moving averages

dClose = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", close)

dSma20 = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", ta.sma(close, 20))

dSma50 = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", ta.sma(close, 50))

dSma200 = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", ta.sma(close, 200))

// Daily slope checks

dSma200Falling = dSma200 < dSma200[10]

dSma50Rising = dSma50 > dSma50[10]

// Stage conditions based on daily data

avoid = dClose < dSma200 and dSma200Falling

watch = ta.crossover(dClose, dSma20)

earlyRecovery = ta.crossover(dClose, dSma50)

trendRepair = ta.crossover(dClose, dSma200)

// Earlier confirmation

confirmedRecovery = dClose > dSma200 and dClose > dSma50 and dSma50Rising

confirmedSignal = confirmedRecovery and not confirmedRecovery[1]

// Later bull-trend confirmation

bullTrend = dSma50Rising and ta.crossover(dSma50, dSma200)

// Stage labels

plotshape(avoid and not avoid[1], title="Avoid", text="Avoid", style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white, size=size.tiny)

plotshape(watch, title="Watch", text="Watch", style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.yellow, textcolor=color.black, size=size.tiny)

plotshape(earlyRecovery, title="Early Recovery", text="Early", style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.blue, textcolor=color.white, size=size.tiny)

plotshape(trendRepair, title="Trend Repair", text="Repair", style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.purple, textcolor=color.white, size=size.tiny)

plotshape(confirmedSignal, title="Confirmed Recovery", text="Confirmed", style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white, size=size.tiny)

plotshape(bullTrend, title="Bull Trend", text="Bull Trend", style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.lime, textcolor=color.black, size=size.tiny)

// Background traffic light

bgcolor(avoid ? color.new(color.red, 88) : na)

bgcolor(dClose > dSma20 and dClose < dSma50 ? color.new(color.yellow, 90) : na)

bgcolor(dClose > dSma50 and dClose < dSma200 ? color.new(color.blue, 90) : na)

bgcolor(dClose > dSma200 and dClose > dSma50 and dSma50Rising ? color.new(color.green, 92) : na)

// Alerts

alertcondition(avoid and not avoid[1], title="Avoid", message="Daily price is below a falling 200-day SMA. Avoid.")

alertcondition(watch, title="Watch", message="Daily price has reclaimed the 20-day SMA. Watchlist signal.")

alertcondition(earlyRecovery, title="Early Recovery", message="Daily price has reclaimed the 50-day SMA. Early recovery signal.")

alertcondition(trendRepair, title="Trend Repair", message="Daily price has reclaimed the 200

...and for more fun, if we look at the moving averages they are going super bullish: https://www.tradingview.com/x/L164my6f/

(again nothing to bank on, just for fun, we are all fully invested and here for T/O)

The spike is simply the breakout of bullflag triangle: https://www.tradingview.com/x/7DT618VH/

Using fig extension it should get to 1065p: https://www.tradingview.com/x/T6klGIQH/

(Technical are just for fun nothing to ever bank on)

A higher AISC is not good, but a high AISC is good for future investors like me to get back in. High AISC provide much more margin expansion when gold rises.

It is quite peculiar because we know they do. I knew HGT (HG Capital Trust) did too, but if you look at the downward trend in HGT, the bottom of the chart seems to have coincided with an AI-related announcement, although nothing particularly spectacular was announced in terms of direct revenue potential.

That said, we know Gamma is already operating in areas where AI could become increasingly relevant:

Compliance and AI risk scraping: Gamma has deployed automated AI tools to scan changing telecom regulations across European markets, helping reduce the compliance burden for corporate clients.

Intelligent call transcripts and analytics: Instead of simply recording calls, Gamma can potentially embed real-time language translation, compliance monitoring and structured call summaries directly into enterprise voice services.

Outcome-based service design: Corporate clients are moving away from basic, low-cost per-minute billing and towards higher-value services. Gamma’s AI capability could allow it to bundle data insights and automation into its standard communication services, supporting higher-margin software revenue over time.

I think it is down to revenues of AI need to be made more explicit, as we know total group profits climbed 11% to £645.8 million. It is encouraging to see Microsoft shares starting to recover. Perhaps the market is just too slow to realise AI profits outside of semiconductors as we can see from Microsofts share price decline, that encouraging is recovering now and should absolutely be linked indirectly in some way to the performance of GAMA. I believe private equity will make good money and far more than I will make here.

If wider markets start to pull back, GAMA looks like a good barbell position.

I would have expected it to be above 1,000p by now. We could still see a move that has nothing to do with takeover news, potentially driven by AI-related contract wins...

Last year, the very large company I worked for negotiated hard to get the price down, as cost saving was an employee target. But the reality is that moving provider is costly, risky and disruptive. AI is also one of the employee targets this year, which is important.

That was the main reason I invested in GAMA in the first place, not the takeover angle, but the AI infrastructure I think the BOD have downplayed.

Kendall12, Yes obviously Evotec SE has far more upside if it works. But why post that here? you are fairly new to investing from your comments.

With Evotec, you’re probably talking about a potential 10 or 20-bagger, but only as a tiny position, maybe <1% of a portfolio, because the risk is completely different.

That isn’t the risk/reward profile most GAMA holders are looking for. Plenty of us would be comfortable holding far more than 1% in GAMA because it’s a different type of investment altogether.

10 June means nothing. They will extend. Extending is good as anyone who was in Alpha Group found out. Much of the money from ALPH actually went into GAMA (be it at a higher price than today dang it!

Da_Matser if you had followed the duo you would have sold GAMA as they had seen no value here. Unlike us and private equity.

Hill and Scott show is one to avoid. Absolutely the worst podcast and utterly clueless people.

Probably the lowest-cost gold producer” - but I wouldn’t let that put anyone off.

With the P/E this low, any further increase in the gold price should still add materially to the valuation, possibly more than it would for higher-cost producers.

Also worth remembering that not all the projects are ultra-low cost. The higher-cost projects have more operational gearing to the gold price, so as gold moves up, their profit margins should expand materially too.

There is often a delayed lag in THX due to not being a FTSE 250 company.... same with SRB.

Middle Eastern countries are selling gold to fund the loss of oil export revenue while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. That has been the pattern since the closure began.

Gold stocks (and stocks) have held up reasonably well so far, as markets appear to be waiting for the Strait to reopen and see it as only a matter of time. If that happens, the reverse trade could follow: less forced gold selling (just Russia again), oil exports resuming, and a possible and violent relief violent rally in Gold and Silver that will be impossible to catch in my opinion.

Gold rarely drops under 150 moving average in blue:

https://www.tradingview.com/x/0a9litmK/

And zoomed in (look at bounce of the 150 day moving average in blue):

https://www.tradingview.com/x/05NYL1VJ/

Gravy does not mention a time line. Gold is bearish in the short-term trend lines (but creating a massive bull flag), and so the long-term trend is still bullish as gols is above the 200 day average.

"Thor looks like an unwanted share when other gold miners are flying" - yet it outperforms over the long run. There is performance lag and one I take advantage of by recycling winners into here. Does not always work out but a net positive.

Recovery phase. I added to SRB as well as others but increasingly into laggards the laggards like this. It is a laggard vs mining index that races ahead.

Makes sense for Segilola drill results to be released as they come in.

Results this morning shows very good update for fundamentals. Not the catalyst update the forum here wanted: Segilola resource update with missing Segilola resource update, Underground mine plan and any quantification of extension etc... so we wait for update.

Tomorrows catch up play. I made sure I had taken profits from the winners and invested here. Often slower to move. Makes it easy to compound gains in gold this way.