RE: My next price target 50 pence by end February.24 Jan 2020 22:03
Well it looks like our friend Josef has all the makings of a good oil analyst!
He is very smart in his analysis, and I like the way that he is drip-feeding the target price in, as the news become certain rather than speculation.
I believe that his figures are conservative, as are my own, but I was working on a higher flow, but a conservative per barrel contribution, as I think that oil is likely to have an average price of $50 per barrel. Good to hear that our Gas is priced at a premium due to local demand, but that is because the alternative is LNG imports which are always going to cost more.
I think that we should keep an eye on Josef, as he has a clear understanding of what we are dealing with, and being based in Toronto will be getting it from the horse's mouth - same info but more clarity.
I think that he will raising his figure to 100 cents once we get more news of Cascadura, and then again if we get some positive results on the two remaining drills by November.
With all that we have going on, it would not surprise me if we are granted an extension on the second drill, giving us the chance to drill another development well at Cascadura, in order to increase the flows from other oil-bearing intervals - the results of which we are still awaiting.
All in all an excellent analysis, and I am really surprised that the Toronto market didn't have a lift on the back of it, but it was late in the week, and I think this will all come good on Monday for us.
I believe that we will have another ten percent or possibly more next week - spread the message far and wide.