RE: There's no real visibility of time scales at the moment24 May 2021 14:56
I think that in the longer term the new pipelines can only benefit all interested parties and, if that assists AEX / APT in hastening the development and production of the Ntorya and Nyuni / Kiiwani projects then that too is fantastic; however there is no tangible, direct correlation between the various projects other than speculating that the gas form Ntorya might end up getting used in the pipeline and, even if that were to happen, it will be long after I have sold the vast majority of my AEX stake.
The environment in Tanzania appears to be changing for the better but it will be a long time before that change compensates for the negative impact that the previous 5 year of the Magafuli Govt has had on AEX projects, shareholder value and AEX cash position specifically and the O&G investment community in Tanzania more generally.
It would be easy to say everything from here is positive and maybe it will be but I have become too jaundiced over recent years after seeing the Tanzanian authorities virtually destroy AEX with their incompetence and intransigence and so I will believe it when I see it; the proof of the pudding is, they say, in the eating.
I would certainly be more inclined to believe it if the TPDC and Tanzanian Revenue were to take their metaphorical knee off our neck and pay us our outstanding invoices. Before that occurs it will remain more like of a change of style over substance.