RE: Statistically the per cent Bid offer Deals that actually happen in Uk28 Aug 2022 01:47
With or without TB .. Dark likely trading north of 550 p by January or 600 p
So little medium term 6/9 m downside if buy at 500 levels now most probably
So holding is likely fine if can hold for 6/9 m
It might be a nasty drop to 415 or 450 p temporarily if TB announce no deal , which is now unlikely
Imagine a Tinder date … normally if you go on Tinder dates you will know within 2 weeks if you want to go from coffee to dinner or more ? So TB has now been looking Dark for a year from a distance , and now 2 weeks with access to data , they are clearly ready to make an offer , but the key is to balance how much value TB can add by bring Dark to Usa with its management know how , access to clients , access for Dark to new cyber tech by merging with another TB company …
Poppy needs new mentors ( ML has been fantastic but now less in picture ) and ML probably a bit ****ed off with Uk government not protecting him more , so he/wife can exit at a very good price … HP happy as they can try for higher fine ! And in future Dark can list on both Nasdaq and Ftse …
The funny thing is Dark might jump back to FTSE 100 again if the buy out level sufficient … so incentives for everyone needed , shares for management, new EDs , and promises to existing big funds KKR etc that they can buy back in before next Ipo , and a level of 850 p buys out most share holders who bought after IPO ..
let’s see how far the Tinder dating has reached …