RE: Most important news...8 Oct 2024 18:30
...but here's my take.
First the placing. Dilution of the shares (c 15%) at a discount of 25% is, at face value, only a loss of around 4%. My guess is that the market will overcompensate for this because they know some people are getting the shares for 11p. And at the margins, why would people be able to sell at 12p, when others are buying at 11p. Those more familiar with these sorts of markets will perhaps be able to explain why there might be a disconnect between the placing price and the opening SP.
Next the loan notes - I'd missed the fact that we'd passed the 3-mth deadline for redeeming these at 15%, so now they are costing 5% per month (or around £100k per month). The next capital raise will need to reflect the higher cost.
The charge is more concerning because this now shifts the balance of ownership more in Regal's favour. In extremis, they might be left owning the company to the expense of the shareholders.
Which brings us back to the ASX listing. Unless there is a plan B - which I doubt they have the time to do - this is the defining moment. The withdrawal recognises that the new listing price will be lower and may have to raise more money so the dilution will be greater.
Might be time for a tactical retreat though whether you'll find any buyers is anyone's guess.