Member Info for chillphill

I can't see him 'conventianally' marching troops and rolling tanks in as he's stated he will not invade and has no intention to. If he does go back on his word he'll look very silly on the world stage and lose the significant credibility he's recently gained. Ukrane is a country of 40M 'tough' people - also with a respectable army. Many speak Russian and have relatives in Russia, how would it go down if you live in Russia and your airforce has bombed your cousin?

Morning all - Considering ex divi day, bouncing oil prices and Russia's military 'Hokey Pokey' - we seem to be holding up quite well. Sorry if I jinx this. Good luck to all!

Well I've gone for it - if it falls back I'm fairly sure we should be up to the mid £4s soon and it's only partially diluted my profit to date. Will catch the divi too! Total wet finger in a swirling air but willing to hold until next winter. As I mentioned there are loads of good things not baked into the full figures as yet and the promised divi increase has yet to come.

I can never call or fully understand how SPs behave on ex divi day - for instance I'd expect a BP today rise of 5p+ or so, especially at the current fallen back SP, followed by the usual 5p pullback tomorrow (excluding oil price flux and Russian issues). Anyone brave enough to call this? - I won't judge or 'long table you' if you're wrong ;). On a similar issue, is it possible for a rise in SP on ex divi day if good news and other factors such as a spike in oil price coincide?

'The victors always get to write the history'

Russian's pulling back having 'made the West look stupid' (and more importantly 'saved face'). Oil prices on the up. The press has been diverted away from an Oil Wind Fall Tax. Covid now a bad cold. do we now have a clear path to SP growth??? - no asteroid discoveries please!! - oh and for what it's worth - LBBW raises BP price target to 480 (410) pence - 'buy'

Early thoughts I know…. But these results include the rising oil price, not the full ‘terminal’ of $100+ . Also they include the final ‘self imposed’ social lock downs and stagnant air travel. Finally they also included uncertainties re Ukraine. With all this in mind the next quarter should be even better so hopefully the ride isn't over yet. Good luck all!

Yes, 28 weeks at this level I roughly worked out. I know theres a cap on the amount they can buy in one day related to the ratio of market cap but this does seem cautious. I still like this co and they are ( hopefully still) a sleeping gem. Does anyone have any dates ahead of interest for SDY?

So difficult to call this stock! Growth or divi - or both. Brokers all over the place too. It rockets when you expect it to bomb and drops like a stone, often for no reason (I can se anyway). Basics in place though, well run business with modern systems in place to weather the recent changes.

Hopefully the buy back news will prick the attention of new investors, and with a good weathered productive construction summer, drive the SP further up.

Yes the SP will track slowly up ( IMO )it is logical leading to/pending AV's divi (and specials) divulgence. After that point though who knows!

Energy prices rising, possibly millions of new customers added over the last few months, probable minimal supplier swap and changes in re of exisiting client base, BG/CNA 'to a degree' underwritten by the government, competitor overheads (eg wages and liabilities) rising to the levels of BG/CNA, probable return of divis... Why isn't the SP rising???

Low and controlled debt, director share buys, Kingfisher agreements, dividends, investment in additional systems/services and equipment, very good sentiment from brokers and share writers (each side of the pond); yes there seems to be a case to have a punt in my view. Not only that, the economy should wake up more this year (hopefully)!

Not been as ‘harsh’ (markets not closed yet I know) as I thought or indeed fully inline with the divi amount. Could this be a positive? Thoughts and observations please – always interested in all the posts here.

CREDIT SUISSE CUTS DIRECT LINE PRICE TARGET TO 350 (375) PENCE - 'OUTPERFORM'
still bullish (ish)!

https://www.cmcmarkets.com/en-gb/news-and-analysis/can-aviva-share-price-rise-back-above-400p-barrier
Seems quite positive 'reading between the lines' - tomorrow will tell!!

Sort of self worked it out now I think... Not our 'Ord' share divi as yet - I read it on my HL phone app on the move and interpreted this as the ‘expected’ special divi. Still can’t work out why it's triggered a rise in SP - unless it's just a coincidence and investors are anticipating a decent update on the 25th and have piled in anyway. Thoughts gratfully recieved...

@Micky1971,
Its just an announcement that the 8 3/4% Cumulative Irredeemable Preference shares of £1 will be getting the half yearly dividend of 4.375% on the 31st of December. Sorry for being a bit thick/green here - some questions if anyone can shed light...
This seems to be a (pleasant) surprise sprang on everyone or is it me?
What is the actual return here interms of return per normal share?
When is the 'ex divi' date? eg can we expect more investors piling in now until the cut off?
Thanks in advance for clarifications

In all hoesty I'm buying and topping up on intuition as its a well run company with a good divy. No news and price fluctuations make it all the more interesting but totally unreadable. That said all the BP holders seemingly have the 'answers' - but the SP is doing it's own thing anyway just as this seems to be (except DLG seems to be within smaller more manageable and predicatbale tollerances). Hopefully the trade update may bolt the rabbit! Good luck all.

Hi All, great to read all the opinions - each counts- I read somewhere that it may be too soon for the full effect of oil prices to fully pull through into todays results? With that in mind the next ( combined with full world open up and northern h winter) should be very interesting! Thoughts?