RE: BTC correlation and Arb sp10 Aug 2021 12:56
@Speel: I agree the last week has broken the BTC-ARB correlation, but there are also periods where the correlation between the other miners and BTC has been poor. There have been weeks at a time when the 20d correlation has even been negative. On the long-term, the ARB-BTC correlation is excellent.
I agree that during the past 7 trading days, all of the miners have closely followed BTC, while ARB has not. I follow the others closely, because I trade all of them and ARB was the only one that didn't repeatedly pop to my target within a day or two. It was like shooting fish in a barrel ... while ARB went nowhere.
MARA and HUT are now looking heavily overbought to me and to a lesser extent, so is RIOT. ARB looks good.
I'm still invested here and will build my position further on any weakness.
At any time now, the Melanion Capital BTC fund will open to investors and they will be buying BTC continually as the fund grows. Currently, ARB would be one of the biggest weights in that fund. In the meantime, we need to listen to all crap on this channel, but I think it will fly soon and sentiment improve.
That's just my opinion. I'm heavily biased and I actively trade ARB and other miners.