Thoughts on share price4 Sep 2021 10:28
I recently posted this on Telegram:
"My current opinion on Pensana for what it is worth is that we remain firmly in the orphan stage and indeed will remain there for the next 8-10 weeks until we get clarity and confirmation of the $250 million bond issuance-if correct that suggests another 8-10 weeks of a flattish stock price and for those with cash a good period to accumulate.I remain very convinced that funding will be successful and the project will go into production as planned.On the ATF we are up against some big players like British Volt who will ultimately be "directly" employing many more people than us-so I feel an ATF grant is currently 50:50-I see it as a very " nice to have",but not essential to the project.With it we get less equity dilution,without it equity dilution will be greater,but we still have a world class project.Still very happy with the £10 price target in 3/4 years that I calculated when I origininally invested.GLA"
Just from other shares I hold it is clear the orphan period is slow, boring and leads to many capitulating and getting out.The share initially falls sharply then flatten out-for proof see HZM or ACP charts.If you have a long term horizon like I do (this does not apply if you are a trader)the orphan period presents a great opportunity to gradually accumulate because if you have excellent management, excellent resource assets and an excellent strategy you will eventually get funding, management will execute and the shares will multi bag.
This has been a boring period at Pensana-not helped by the the deramping crew which is worse here than any share I have ever been in.However finance is now a matter of months away-keep accumulating and you will be well rewarded over the next 3 to 4 years-it will be worth the long tedious orphan period wait.
By the way I still encourage the excellent commentators on here to try and get on Telegram-alot of input on there-sensible negative argument is encouraged, but blatant persistent, same old refuted argument shorters are kicked off.Good weekend all.