Three days and counting...25 Sep 2021 09:25
I am sure JM is going to torture us with a Wednesday announcement-I hope I am proved wrong and it is Monday.Irrespective of the actual date, by Friday we will be (even more)significantly derisked and hopefully will also have been given a bit of guidance re offtakes, the equity issue and our key partners in this deal, though following JM's last interview I am not expecting full and final details on these until mid October early November.That does not matter-I get the impression they are in the bag with very blue chip partners-probably all our current partners, but hopefully a newcomer or two-a BHP or Vale would not go amiss.The more of these guys we can get involved now the more aggressive the final takeover battle will be.
My key question (and I am sure the key question of many commentators here is "what number of shares and what price".I am still hoping a premium to make the single cornerstone $100m workout below 30%,but only time will tell.Once we know the fully diluted number of shares we can have a much better stab at realistic price targets four to five years out.I am still hoping that we can get well over 80p a share-very plausible if nickel is approaching $30k/ton by then, which I think is possible.If that occurs I believe EV metal stocks will trade at a premium to historical cyclical norms.
Finally I think Craig or Picked made a very valid point a couple of days ago-let's not go too mad with offtakes at this stage JM, that will only hurt us later if nickel is pushing $30k/ton.
"The future is bright-the future is HZM" :))