RE: Thor Exploration19 Jul 2024 13:29
In response to your post T073.
"Ore grade: 3.14 g/tonne ( this is assumed from an average of H1. it is likely to be lower grade in H2 or else SL would have been sure to mention it if otherwise)"
In essence, he has mentioned it by restating the existing guidance at a minimum of 95,000 oz in mid-July. The point at which they will know which area of the mine and therefore resource they will be extracting from in H2. Given the expected grade of 5.4g/t vs 3g/t required, there is every chance they could deliver a higher average grade in H2 because somewhere in the mine plan that higher grade exists.
"Tonnage milled: 662,500 tonnes ( this is maximum capacity at the optimistic projection of the CEO. He said it can mill, not that it is milling)"
My understanding was that the guidance was 120 tons per hour and they planned to work 24/7 in H2. This ties into c. 260,000 tons of milled ore which has been achieved as recently as Q2, Q3 and Q4 2023.
So I don't understand this whole maximum of 662,500 tons milled argument.
I demonstrated earlier that c. 250,000 tons milled at 3g/t would deliver enough production (when added to c. 7,000 tons of Gold in circuit) to meet the bottom end of guidance.
If they end up being 5,000 oz short I really don't care because they will be generating a lot of cashflow. But the numbers say 95,000 is plausible and the decision to maintain guidance is justified.
Lastly, according to the Q1 MDA THX had 12,255 oz of Gold in CIL and 3,652oz was reported to have been released in Q2.
This leaves around 8,600 oz of which 1,500 oz remains steady state although some more will have been added back in during Q2.
But even without that there is a path to pouring around 7,000 oz of gold in CIL by YE which the CEO has stated was the plan for this year.
The CEO stated they wanted to maintain a stable level of 1,500 oz GI