Member Info for big-blue

The drop was sector wide, it was simply computer algorithms turned to consolidate. It will be three steps forward, one step back from now over the next couple of months...

the critical bit ctel is the level of concentration in what is being expelled. Of course somebody full of symptoms spluttering muck everywhere is an issue, it was before - catch, it, kill it, bin it! As for Nightingale, she found it was proximity of patient's sharing equipment to be the problem, I don't think she ever advocated face coverings and surgeons have conducted numerous experiments breathing on petri dishes through masks and demonstrating they are pretty useless in protecting the patient. They tend to wear them to protect themselves from squirting fluids. Pasteur identified bacteria and inoculation, again nothing to do with masks. Masks are a ref herring in this pandemic.

..... and let us not forget, people were making an awful lot of money selling these masks. They are not going to let that money machine go so easily and will have 'invested' in a range of talking heads all over the place ready to pop up to keep the mask wearing going! Follow the money........

Masks were a 'polite' gesture mainly precovid in Asian zones, but were never regarded as a genuine way of stopping the spread of someone's cold to those around them. The real issue is that if one person in the room is a covid carrier and exhales the virus it has to be at a high enough concentration for people to take in and have their own immune system overwhelmed. We are exposed to all manner of nasty bugs all the time but don't develop the illness because we didn't contract a high enough concentration of bugs. Now, if the carrier continues exhaling into the mask, and the mask picks up, say, 10% of the covid bugs, that is every breath. Over half an hour walking around a supermarket, that mask becomes soaked in viruses well into a concentration level able to infect and become established in somebody else. I remember interviews revealing how many times people touch their faces when this was in a true open discussion at the beginning. So the carrier touches the mask with high covid levels, picks up items in a shop or touches railings and surfaces [THAT is why the hand cleaning regime was introduced immediately], another person comes along, the concentrated virus is passed to the hands, then to the face and I remember the prime entry point to the body was through the eye sockets. But wearing the mask became an anti-trump emblem and that was that.

I think two measures will remain post covid, splatter screens protecting servers/till staff etc and distance maintenance in queues. I also expect a mega announcement possibly next year. You know the proverbial 'cure for the common cold'? With the new vaccine methodology using RNA I think there is a very good chance the technique will be developed and viruses can be treated rather like bacterial infections. In the autumn I am going to set up some long-term positions in pharm sector with companies researching in that area.

as long as we can fly without testing, then who cares. I'm double jabbed and careful to use a scarf with natural fibres as a face covering so I am far less likely to develop a lung complaint from mask wearing.

Most of your exhaled air simply escapes around the masks. You can see it on peoples glasses steaming up - and most people can feel it. You need a fully sealed mask to begin to trap exhaled viruses and then special absorbing material. If airlines were to hand those out, N95 I think is the required standard, then that might help, but people still need to avoid touching the masks and then touching surfaces. There academics all over the world laughing at the stupidity of mask wearing to stop the spread of a highly contagious repository virus. It will probably only come to light when all the millions of lung complaints start to show from breathing in all those micro fibres from the masks. Humans, huh!

Why would it be mental? The mask offers you no protection and most of the exhaled air from someone else passes around the mask. They are utterly useless. Keep a spray bottle of isopropyl alcohol with you to clean your hands after touching any surface. I tell ya - masks are a complete red herring.

Computers marching up then down again, sector wide as before. If you panic sell, you are just handing your money over to the iis. Save yourself the anxiety and just set up a standing order from your bank directly into their bank. Same losses but without the stress.

ps

think it might be useful to watch some US main tv news broadcasts latter tonight to see if the new narrative is being pushed, esp comparisons with the likes of flu [comparisons that are months over due imo]. If so, WHO guidance on 'living with covid' will surely follow and as vaccines are rolled out faster a reopening globally will accelerate. I am expecting to visit one of the German Christmas fairs again this year without the need for covid testing. By next spring covid should become a distant memory. I may go over to Japan for the blossom season!!

My reckoning at the moment is that the US routes are not opening until September based on chief medical advisor statements in US, and the long time scale offered by the US to review and develop a travel policy with covid as announced at the G7. Given how critical tourist money is for large areas of Europe, I see short haul recovering quickly, but it will require getting rid of these bloody useless tests [test and trace is a total failure, few people are self isolating outside the school system and I anticipate it will be wound down soon]. So I am still working on a plan that Easy J will recover first, then perhaps end of July sell up and have dry powder for a roller coaster in IAG sp as speculation starts about transatlantic routes fully reopening with no testing.

HOWEVER, there may need to be some updating of the plan. The U turn in Germany's position today means the EU has not yet succeeded in creating an unfair market advantage where hubs to the US open on the continent first, as I speculated was the plan behind Mekel's round robin phone calls. The news from Germany today is MASSIVE in so many ways and potentially changes a lot of probabilities. I may have to consider cashing in half my Easy J chips earlier than planned [with a decent profit of course] so I have dry powder for the IAG take off latter.

But with so many things, the US could suddenly do a policy U turn now the new narrative is out and being peddled even by the BBC. Might be a case in the right share at the right time.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-57678942

Interesting BBC article, even they are running the new narrative, although bashing it on air. Scroll down - a hint of the discussion over the next couple of weeks, that is the comparison with flu deaths.
"But serious illness happens all the time. In the depths of winter there can be 1,000 admissions a day for respiratory infections.

Flu alone killed more than 20,000 people in England in the winter of 2017-18. There was no talk of the need to introduce restrictions or curtail freedoms then.

"That is the context we need to start seeing Covid in," says Prof Robert Dingwall, a sociologist at Nottingham Trent University."

Also, expect a great deal more news about treatment success. The end game is underway.

Wow, what a massive U turn from Germany. It can be seen Merkel was clearly off the ball on the narrative going forward. The narrative is now about living with covid, not trying to firewall as so far Te vaccine has changed that. This must mean the US administration has adopted the new narrative. It is also a spectacular failure to unite EU onto a common policy. covid has allowed independent policy which should lead to fast changes in travel. This failure is very important because it means the bottom has been reached and a return to normal should follow. However, due the past sabotage of travel I would say the pent up demand will be a bit muted.

I suspect he probably made a killing on spread bets or cfd. The sad side is he actually thinks his postings changed the sp in his favour. oh dear

I would have thought any redundancy plan would have been in the public domain used as leverage on the government either for opening up travel or industry support. However, the way of the UK government, irrespective of colour, tends to be behind the scenes even where trades unions are involved [unless they are loosing the argument]. So if this is the case then there could be some political posturing over the next couple of weeks allowing some very iffy and dodgy day trading. Increments will be the trading word of the week!

It does look like the argument about discrimination against those not vaccinated has been wiped out. It was a very odd argument from the out set - esp from Tories much more a labour moaning whinge. It was always only going to go one way or else why bother with the vaccination.

SSP won the gain race, by 0.08%.

So out it comes with wheelbarrow assist and around the play ground I go...... wa hoooooo.......

IAG nudging ahead of SSP on the rebound. Who will win biggest gain of the day?

Easy J did most of it's turn around end of last week. IAG doing it's catch up today. I am still looking to play the game of jumping from Easy to IAG [due to transatlantic opening up being latter than EU opening up] but need them to be out of sync. There were signs at the end of last week they were not moving as a bloc as they have done mostly throughout. Today seems to give a hint that they are again out of sync. With any luck this will continue and the disparity grow. Then, when Easy hits something like 1100+ and IAG is still sub 200, I can do the switcheroooooo before the US opens it's borders to either the UK or US.

One big swing to look out for, US opens doors to EU but not UK, however IAG spikes as it is anticipated UK will follow very soon after. But, US signals that the original September estimate remains, so IAG crashes sub 180, perfect time to buy in [if no placing] and then when finally the US corridor is open, sp spikes one last big glorious time. Speculation but one play of events that has a reasonable probability of happening.

Looks like I will be doing the willy waving today, my SSP is out gunning IAG nicely.