RE: Future looks good30 Jun 2022 21:41
This was todays opening post - open to any genuine thoughts to those who have a constructive view on the facts:
Last year's results are interesting - improved revenues on 2020 and a tiny gross profit on activities
Obviously even though overheads have been reduced there's still a loss, but it's much lower than 2020.
As far as I can see if LVCG maintain their overhead levels then a gross profit of £3.4M on a combination of KPOP and Bricklive alone will deliver positive bottom line.
Now - what can we estimate for 2022? This is my early stab and up for debate, no doubt I'll have missed something...
There's a total of £1.5M borrowings at the end of May 22, and operating costs of about £3.4M so I'd expect DC to want that paying off before any retained number to shareholders so I think the target for us to see a shareholder return is minimum £5M gross profit.
DC has suggested famously earlier in the year profits equal to M/C - when M/C was £7M.
In that case I see a positive £2M bottom line for 2022 if he's correct.
P/E of 10
M/C of £20M
SP just over 10p
This doesn't allow for extra revenue activity, which we anticipate.
For 2023 if you include O2 and Formula E alone then you're way past that and so the 20p longer term SP is minimum fair value. 7/8 KPOP concerts would just keep adding things up.
What do you think?