The problem with this stock imo.20 Jan 2025 15:00
The topic of this thread is regarding the barrier at 4p that has been hard to break and in part to the Simply Wall Street notice . So here I give some points to the problem this stock has:
1) Fundamentally small cap shares are driven by sentiment rather than grounded in commercial realities, however, for investors they will want to see that the market is realistic. I have written a great deal on valuations of SMB and SME businesses. From my perspective CNSL is not worth the current market cap of £9.28 million. Talk of fantasy share pricing like 10p would result in a totally inflated MC that could not be justified by any metric. They are just numbers plucked out of the imagination of people either paid or those without the first clue.
2) As per the RNS of 10 Nov 2023 the warrants are now all cancelled. The other resolution that totally passed you idiots by (Resolution 5) expired in September, not through want of trying. However, the company is still seeking funding. You have to wonder why if they have a float of £5m. Perhaps that £5 million isn't all it seems. (which you would understand if you had a clue).
3) This will be another loss making year according to the Board of Directors. Revenue is likely to be a mere £8.8 according to the paid for Chartwell report. They also revised EBITDA down due to legal costs. I have provided the benchmarks to show a company in a growth cycle and why I believe to maintain the growth will be challenging.
4) Simply Wall Street issued a Risk notice for CNSL on Friday 17th January. In it they state CNSL is:
"...more volatile than 75% of British stocks, typically moving 9.8% a week....Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks."
So in summary - this loss making business has not shown that the fundamental issue of sales performance has been resolved,, its paid for broker has adjusted down expected figures for 2024/25, the lack of liquidity and volatility is a risk and question marks remain around funding.
Just so you know.