Member Info for Arfur_Uggins

I do think gold will test the $1820 - $1830ish level within the next few days. With no Centamin results upset, which I'm not expecting, the timing could push the Centamin price above 120p. It may be a chance for those who wish to reduce to do so.
I almost bought some more this morning - just to hold until after Ex Div. Common sense got the better of me - must have been the coffee. I left it at about 117p and came back this evening to see it had dropped. So, good decision. I must not start on that game. Just be satisfied to hold my current amount.
I saw a headline the other day about Bitcoin's next target level was $88000. Then it fell hard. Now the mob are saying it has hit support and will rise. Is this another one of those pump and dump job?. I am looking for some headline telling me that Musk has sold all his bitcoin!
There. Quite a short post and almost completely on topic. Bl@@dy hell, Aoife, are you feeling well?

The past week seemed to bring out something in a few board members that encouraged them to reveal their age. It's so nice to see such a range.
Many years ago, the BBC made a series called The Rock n' Roll Years. The years covered were from 1956 to the early nineties. It set each year to music and had subtitles and significant events from that year. There was no narration. I did manage to tape the year of my birth and you can see it on Youtube. It does have some silent sections - copyright I guess - which spoils the programme. So I won't provide the link.
It was a vintage year when a world superpower got itself emboiled ever deeper into the affairs of a former French colony, and sowed the seeds of its demise, the consequences of which we see today. A handsome, blond man received a golden cup from the Queen and, holding it aloft, declared that England were the Champions of the World. Somewhere in the British Isles, a fair lady had given birth to a fair child, and I can only imagine that child was in a state of wonder and bemusement. Throughout the years and to this day, the wonder and bemusement lives on. Here are some special moments from those years that mean so much to me.

This is what happens when the Saints go marching in. Poor Brighton almost repeated the victory a few years later - they came so close.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R_U5S5onzd0

Sometimes, the really good guys do win.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xI8mDWiTbQQ

Sometimes, a dead cert doesn't win.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xo8SKvqHdQI

And if at first you don't succeed - learn to speak Danish.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNMDQ3f6Y94

Not west end but based there for a few years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p3j2NYZ8FKs

Really? Head over heels I'd say - and some!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgJckGsR-T0

This angry boy mellowed and got much better over time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HMAVU1k7kg

Possibly my favourite Bond film, certainly the best theme song. Play from 3 minutes to edit out the slightly immodest beginning.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8Uz3IuYDh4

One of the best programmes ever. Play from 42 minutes onwards. When Christina returns to Flambards after husband Will is killed in the war, she goes into his room where they first met. Possibly the most haunting music and pathetic scene ever to be shown on British TV.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nCIo-Ch5doA

Definitely not the way to do a pop video. The man on the top step looks as if he sold his Centamin Shares for a £1.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Od3enf2jWF8

This man will cheer them up. The music and dance routine is magical. The last I heard, Bertie was still on the run.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tud43e2dT30

I could have picked any number from 'The Boys'. It's been a privilege to have been on earth to enjoy their talent. This just about sums it up.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=usNsCeOV4GM

Aoife

Chris
The link below is promising but, as always, should be taken with a large brandy and soda. You could even ask TigerByTheTail if he/she has any spare bottles of wine from the vineyard.
https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/

Thanks for the link Chris. It just confirms my unease in using Bitcoin and 'investing' in it.
I didn't think your earlier post was disrespectful. You're just showing different symptoms from the rest of us resulting from our frustration with the price of gold and Centamin. Our horse now needs to show us it can gallop.
I have been to Gloucesteshire many times. I visited Berkeley Castle, where King Edward II was murdered, a few years ago. To my utter surprise, right next door is the Edward Jenner museum and house. You'd think someone who has spent many years dealing with viruses and bacteria would know about that museum. It's a facinating place, if you like that sort of thing.
I last visited Cheltenham in July 2018 to see Robert Powell play Sherlock Holmes in The Final Curtain, at the Everyman Theatre. I bought a programme and paid the lady in five £1 coins. I was handed one coin back: 'I don't want that thing,' she said. It was a Euro - they are disturbingly similar to the £. Anyway, I visited a Cathedral not long after and the collection box stated it would accept any currency. So, bye bye Euro.
Aoife

Hi Mr T
I should point out that my 'orchard' consists of 19 trees in about 1/3 acre of land including the house. I think estate agents define an orchard as a garden with 7 trees. The four pears are fan trained on a 12 foot high wall. The guy who owned the place before me was a horticulturist who created an amazing garden. There are 4 pears, 3 plums, 2 gages, 1 damson, 6 apples and 3 cherries. I've had to learn to prune them and generally look after them. They are due a good year for fruit this year - quite biennial now.
I don't have animals - I wouldn't have time to look after them. The types you suggest encourage rats, I'm afraid, and the world is full of them, as you know - they come in many guises. Off topic again, but it's almost Sunday. Poor CHRI55 will be pulling his/her hair out by now.
Aoife

Goldgnome & Mr T
Your post reminded me that I wanted to respond to an earlier post from Mr T about bitcoin manipulation.
I created an account on Coinfloor some years ago to try out the technology since I can see a day when our 'official' money will be digital only. The BofE has already put that idea among the pigeons. Powell has said the US digital dollar will run alongside a hard dollar - until everyone no longer use the paper, no doubt.
Anyway, I never got round to using the Bitcoin account but noticed this week I can still log in. I only wanted to get about £10 worth but it seems I would need to add 0.01% of a bitcoin's worth of money into the account which must be in the £100s now. I don't want to do that - I'd rather buy Centamin shares!
But Bitcoin has indeed been manipulated in the past. I was going to buy in before the price hit it's first peak - around $19000 I think. The price at the time of my potential purchase was about £400. At that peak, some institution - I can't remember which - publically announced it was setting up shorting instruments on Bitcoin and the price duly dropped like a stone. Then, even more publically, it announced it had finished shorting and look at the price now. The short was taken off when Zuckerberg was testing the idea of a facebook run digital currency. It does, therefore, seem that governments are allowing the use of this technology for the moment until it suits them to intervene when they are ready to deploy their own currency.
I had to laugh last September when Buffett let the market know he'd bought Barrick shares. Barrick was on the way down after the August gold high, the same as other miners. The price of Barrick duly rose after the Buffet words as people bought in - I just knew what was going on. A while later, he then said he'd sold about one third of his Barrick holding. A nice little pump and dump if ever I saw one. Is it any wonder why he is rich?
Manipulation, manipulation everywhere and hardly a drop to drink. Hmm...that doesn't quite go, but you get my meaning.
It's lovely and sunny here; the plums and pears in my orchard are blooming but the mornings are frosty. The plums will be OK but the pears won't cope so well.
Sorry about the off topic and using ten words when one word would do, but you know me by now.
Aoife

CHRI55
I'd recommend your post a million times if I could. It's absolutely in the right spirit.
Kind regards to you.
Aoife

Hi CHRI55
I think you may have answered your own question in some ways. Centamin's share price has been stuck in a range for ages, which has mean't some people have strayed a 'little' off topic (guilty as charged). Now that the price is rising, we're back into serious mode and there's little extraneous content (except Sundays!). However, I noticed today that one other guilty party was the first to post an answer to a question posed - pretty dynamic I'd say. In fact, it seems to me that if anyone wishes to find out an answer to anything - not just Centamin related - this board is the place to find it. I'm beginning to think that Jeeves is not some fictional character at all. All this first class information is free of charge. After all, despite your irritation regarding some posts, you're still here reading - and contributing.
We live in unusual times and some can cope with the restrictions better than others. If we can all be tolerant, we'll be just fine - and learn many new things along the way.
Aoife

That's such a good point. Looking at the commodity price is one thing, but a share price can sometimes be a different kettle of fish. The commodity can be in a bull market but if the company selling that commodity is run by idiots, well. Same thing in reverse. We've got Centamin not run by idiots and gold is on the up for now - a double whammy to the plus.
C'mon Centamin. If you can get to 116p by 3pm today, I can have a Tunnocks Tea Cake for tea break.

Hi Sotolo
Fair enough. I have a feeling you may just get your chance.
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$1800 will certainly provide key resistance. I still think around $1830 - $1850 will be the test. If it can get through that and hold we'll be OK. If not, then rethink. Nevertheless, Centamin should do well over the next three or four week - roughly. That should give an opportunity for those who would like to sell or reduce to go ahead. I know some want to for various reasons.
Nothing can wind me up on a Friday. I hope they are not famous last words.
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Very nice Cherryburn
I had a look back at my post on the 16 Mar @15:22 where I said we should have a period of price stability around the $1720-$1740 level with the odd spike above and below, which we did get. The low seems to have been a double bottom and the point where regular readers of this bulletin board discovered that Arfur ain't got no bottle to buy. But I did buy in this week and, like you, hope we can now break clear.
I really can't see gold breaking those lows again. It's out of time, and besides, there is huge support there. I don't know what large buyers at that point have as a percentage loss before they sell but it has to be around the 10% mark, I should think. Any break below $1650 would incur huge buying - me included (if I've got the B). The only reason to sell gold is if there were a stock market crash and there were margin calls. But that isn't going to happen - any pullback in share indices will be one of those orchestrated profit taking events. So no panic selling by those that matter.
It won't be long now before Centamin goes Ex Div. That may tempt some more buyers. Looking good for now.
Aoife

Hi Mr T
Not 'Skyfall', but 'Spectre'.
I can imagine Amazon not helping new or little known authors. Your wife is doing amazingly well to be a published author. They say most of the best books ever written have never been published. If you don't know someone in the industry, or have been a journalist or famous person in another field, you've got one hell of a job to get printed.
I never buy books from Amazon. I need to have a shop to browse through for so important a task as selecting reading material. I have to use Waterstones locally, but whenever I visit London, there are still some privately owned booksellers I spend hours in. Old haunts from way back when I lived there.
No, I don't do pink and feathery - so Babara Cartland doesn't appear on my bookshelf. My eldest sister - considerably older then me - used to read Georgette Heyer. Again, a big no from Aoifa.

Hi Mr T.
Yes, my comment was a little tongue-in-cheek, really.
Amazon's delivery ain't much good either. I don't have Prime, but I ordered Black Books, Skyfall and the Laurel and Hardy film with Steve Coogan. They've only just arrived! The latter was the last film I saw at the cinema before I got locked up.
I used to use BlackStar and Play for buying DVDs but they went west. There was a company called Splash some time ago. They went bust and I had a dvd on order. I lost a tenner. Boo Hoo.
Aoife

I'm hoping for a nice long and strong move here in the gold price.
Now, c'mon Centamin.
Oh, it's like being at Glorious Goodwood again, but without the Champagne.
Those were the days.
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I think with all the film and TV series recommendations made on this board lately, I ought to buy shares in Amazon.
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Hi Lodan1
Sorry for the late reply - I've been out all day getting my car fixed that was serviced 2 weeks ago!
Well done on those Centamin prices. Why I didn't add even just an extra 10% at £1 to my core holding, is beyond me. I say that because a few years ago, I received some advice from a Chairman and Managing Director of a gold mining plc about investing in gold. His view was to drip feed some money into the shares when I thought they may have bottomed and that way you'd get a nice, low average. You seem to be able to do that. Anyway, I got my lot now and ex div is on the 20th May, so not long to wait.
One of the good things Maggie Thatcher did was to encourage wider share ownership. If you've ever worked for large plcs, you'll know about share save and share match schemes. I think they are great and essentially introduced me to the world of shares.
Take my advice, Lodan1. Stay 35 years old.
Regards
Aoife

Yes Mr T. In hindsight I should have bought the other day when Centamin hit almost £1 again. Never mind, I've got a nice holding now in an oversold company that's looking good for the future. I'll just hold now and reinvest the dividends, which, according to my broker's platform is 8.6% at the moment. I can't find anything better than that - what's not to like?
I do tend to over analyse- you may have noticed. But your post this morning and all the recent posts and videos made me say to myself: would I pick up the phone now and sell my gold? Of course not - who in their right mind would? As RazorEdge posted later, it will take just an RNS to make the price head north and I'll be left playing catch-up.
I'll write a little on the bitcoin question tomorrow.
Have a nice evening all.
Aoife

If you get any cheaper Rockhopper, my old beauty, I may just have to add a tincy wincy few more. It's a gamble, but I think it should pay off if HBr have got a rational team, and a crystal ball.
Waiting.
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We've had seven swings down in the gold price since last August. Gold is leading the others. No way could we get eleven swings in before Basel 3.
I set up a Bitcoin account on Coinfloor a few years back and bought a Yobico key - quite expensive - to practice cryptocurrency trading. I listened to the 'experts' - Bitcoin will never make it. I think 1 bitcoin would have cost about £400 if memory serves. I did nothing about buying it or using the account. Another bl@@dy lost opportunity. I'd be very rich now if I'd only used my intuition. Having read Mr T's post this morning about buying more Centamin, I followed. I just need to stop dithering and, perhaps, listen more to the young.
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