RE: Weekend thoughts on the Celsius Settlement11 Dec 2021 17:03
Chaebol,
The assumption that the cash value being provided by Argo should match with the BTC amount being provided by Celsius is another aspect that was being made by various BB posters back on Wednesday. But IMO there is no sensible logic to make this assumption as there would appear to be no beneficial purpose for the two parties to be exchanging an equivalent “value” of BTC and USD, as the nett gain by either party would be zero. Seems pretty pointless to me!!
Anyway just for argument sake if we entertain this assumption……During October 2021 the BTC price ranged from a low of circa 48K on 1st Oct upto a peak of 66K on 19th Oct and it dropped back a little to 61K by the end of the month (31st Oct), hence the monthly average BTC price was up in the high 50’s. However for 125 bitcoin to match up with 6.3 MUSD the BTC price value being taken would be down at 50.4 K. So when doing these 125 & 6.3 sums although they seemingly look quite closely matched, actually there is a fairly significant 15%+ mismatch when using the monthly BTC price average, which is what Argo typically employs when doing their financial determinations.
So in closing, this matter to me is not clear yet and as I said in my previous message we will hopefully find out officially in the next monthly update if we see another significant growth jump beyond the production amount in their overall BTC holding.