Member Info for wyndrum

I have tried to say before but the SP and the company are 2 separate things.

I have for the sake of an analogy, refereed to the them as distant second cousin, occasionally they meet up at big family events, get along like a house on fire, promise to stay in touch, and then, don't.

Whatever your plan was/is, my only advice would be, stick to it.

No Gr33, I wont "accept it" for a variety of reasons:

You have no idea what other sales go on in the background between brokers and larger share holders that are not listed. When a shareholder is selling down the sells have to be matched by buys, we have no way of knowing, as is reported here frequently " my buy is showing as a sell!" what in actuality is going on. Also Large selling is reported after the event.
And secondly, as there are way more positive posts here than "negative", by your logic the SP can only be above where it "should" be. So in fact its a falsely positive valuation right now?

My view is that all info is out there in the SP right now, all most do here on this BB is regurgitate other professionals thoughts and links, and that is already reflected in the SP.

It really is fanciful beyond measure, given the pelters I take now, on almost anything I post, that anybody here takes the blind bit of notice of what I think. (I could forecast tomorrow its going to rain and because its in the summer I am just being negative!) It is equally absurd to think even in your own words, 1or 2 posters on this board would sell based on my view so big a holding that it would force down the market cap of a £700m listed bio Pharma!

( However, I guess if its me, then you have given up on the idea that it might be MM's playing around with the SP? Or maybe not, sometimes when the SP goes down it is the MM's, or sometimes it is me, (don't know which, but lets carry on pretending we can see cause and effect here), what can be ruled out it out apparently, is actual news that disappoints the market, or people for whatever reason selling to take profits or re-invest somewhere else or whatever. (Now do you see how ridiculous your idea reads?)

I always ask people who post unsubstantiated stuff like this, how do you know? Who has either publically on this forum, or privately to you, has said "That Wyn bloke... I'm not sure anymore, I'm selling...."?
None, to save you going through a million posts.

And even if you are right (and I don't believe you are), if anybody makes a decision based on a stranger's remark & thoughts on a BB, has to own their decision and suffer whatever consequences come from it.

And lastly, what if in your words"... one of your more negative post if plausible..." turns out to be correct? what then?

The assumption being, presumably behind your post (and others) is that I am always negative (which I am not) to deliberately force down the SP with wrong or misleading info or ideas. your presumptions is somewhat buggered if I turn out to be right, isn't it?

Scardey, thanks for taking the time to post back a thoughtful rebuttal of my er... rebuttal... :0)

I guess the first thing is, I can't say (and nor can you), if my or any posts here, influence anybody. We have to make assumptions. Your reasoned view is that it does, even if its in a small way. (Lets assume I agree based on some posts get recs which is an indication of agreement), my point is its makes no difference to the SP so ultimately, as that's all we care about, these posts of all stripes, have no influence.

I'm not an expert in the the psychological triggers of advertising, but we are maybe looking at the same thing differently.

You use "Flight or Fight" as a reaction to "negative posts" I prefer "Fear and Greed". I would suggest your basis is a much more fundamental reaction to actual physical, potential harm and much more basic where my mine is not. (You can't be fearful of losing money unless you have money, however it was obtained, which suggests for most its not as a basic reaction as you are suggesting. In other words its not life and death but it is important).

Many of my posts have reiterated this point. Don't get emotional, go into every trade (even if its long term buy and hold), with some sort of plan, (ie when to buy and when to sell), don't over commit funds, only bet what you can afford, comfortably, to lose).

Apply those basic oft repeated rules and almost all the angst of any shareholding is removed whatever system is employed.

And that's important because, someone might read a more (I am going to use your word), negative post or scenario, and if they have obeyed the "rules" they can be rationally objective about the comments and decide if they have merit or not. If they are over committed then the emotional reaction will be immediately to denounce the post and to get others validation to support their view, because failure would emotionally and also financially, be harmful.

However, I can't know but I think some or maybe many here are over committed and although COULD afford to lose their stake (or a large %, say 50%) in the sense it would not ruin their lives, would still be extremely painful.

Most of my posts are not written in a negative way actually, simply not as enthusiastic as the general concensus here and that triggers the (what I think) are over-the-top reactions to them. You will , no doubt have your personal favourite's of mine that you vehemently disagreed with, but I think my theme over the last 6 months has largely been, its going to be longer than the majority here think, before we get a test out, and its going to be at reduced numbers due to improvements in treatments and the overall length of time mass testing will be required is not years and years etc.
My "comfort" caveats have always been, quite rationally, if there is new info that alters my view then I will change it. Ie, a variant evades vaccine efficacy, or a new strain that is more harmful for instance.

Many thanks

Yes Noob, she's always been the smart one in the family!

I think that's a good point Pantz, "IF...we have a seller "

it would seem that the sellers's broker could just hold off a day or two and let the SP rise, maybe by a penny or two rather than constantly getting less and less, so it doesn't seem a particularly good strategy on the face of it.

The fact is, we don't know if it is one or a multitude of sellers wanting to offload, or conversely, just not many buyers out there to soak up what might be in fact a relatively a small sell off?

Assumptions do have to be made from time to time, but the less you can or need to do it, the better for good decision making, I think.

Wow, PAHOO, its like if somebody does something repeatedly you can judge how they will likely respond in the future......

well, unless this brings down the govt, I am not sure exactly how it helps. Is it not similar to Dom Cum expose of how BJ rates Handy? Apparently he can't be sacked now without showing up BJ for being equally useless? Now the safest of all Cabinet Ministers apparently.

Still, lets have million posts on this and make sure we don't clog up the board with stuff that is of no relevance....

Hope so BB, I sold some other stock to release funds and took advantage. (There is a chart explanation for it but I won't bore any with it)

Ophidian, given we discussed the chart a week ago, have the intervening swings altered your forecast of 210p as a low?

It seems to be at the top of the resistance at 233p and so far does not want to go through it.

Any thoughts?

You're not a fan then, Apre?

Well, try harder next time... you know how thin skinned I am :0))

This is my point Cn, if you see every fall as Market manipulation, then how do you know any rise are not the same?

Could it be the MM's have manipulated the price up a bit now, to convince sucker buyers into thinking the fall has finished?

I don't know by the way, but I also don't know how you can believe one side of the coin without accepting the other.

Bit harsh Scardey! :0))

Cn, its pretty hit & miss during the day to see the levels of buys & sells.

I don't mind if it is to be blamed on MM, but please if it shoots up before any news comes out,I hop you "blame" MM's then too.

Thanks Pardariff, that's interesting do you think?

Say Gran and Grandad live about 10-15 miles away and you see them once a week with the kids, at £7.50 a test that's £30 a week extra to pay. or £1,500 a year.

This doesn't look like a MM thing.

There are simply no buyers left in sufficient numbers to facilitate sellers who are anxious to sell.

Its a high risk stock, and the buyers who are attracted to this type of investment are already in (at whatever level).

If this BB, is typical, then many of those same holders have already topped up at higher levels and are now tapped out.

on the 15m chart it has a RSI of 12 (the scale is 0-100). (anything under 20 is oversold).

This should attract some buyers, but it remains to be seen if it will halt the overall slide just yet.

Pardariff, that's a good point, but that perhaps then begs the question: what price would you think is acceptable for it to be Inexpensive?

BP, you concluded with "...Always play attacking rather than defensive, be brave and stay strong and we will be rewarded. If not HE1, there will be others but the mentality of playing attacking, being brave separates the 10% for then 90%."

I am not sure any of those characteristics are helpful when deciding to buy or sell a stock.

(And actually you are not buying the company, you are buying the SP, its the SP movement that determines the loss or gain, not the company. Valuations will vary from day to day, in fact minute to minute, but the company will be the same company.

And this stock is not an investment. It is (at best a calculated) risk, that the discovery of HE, will be large and in a geological environment which allows commercial extraction.

There is a risk reward element to all investment decisions and typically, he bigger the risk, the bigger the reward. If you think the reward could be colossal, then what does that say about the risk?

If it fails we will likely loss most if not all our money.