Market cap1 Nov 2021 08:54
Market caps usually include debt, hence the concept of enterprise value, to take account of debt. In NCYT's case, there is no debt. There's loads of cash. So I've been wondering what the market values the business at if you strip out cash and near cash. There was cash of £77.2m at the end of June. Looking at the half year results and extrapolating forward, we can reasonably expect EBITDA of around £23m, with no exceptionals this time. So £100m cash at year end. Plus over £17m tax refund due - am I right that this is now the worst case outcome of the DHSC dispute, from an accounting perspective? So almost £120m cash or near cash, against a market cap of £180m. Suggests the market is currently valuing NCYT at around £60m. For a company making at least £45m this year - and that's worst case because of DHSC. I appreciate that the market is forward looking, and we don't have a clear view of future cash generation prospects, but still, there is a huge value disconnect here.