RE: Lo0ks like a slow burn21 May 2018 11:41
Gastro, a brief summary below for you;
1. Management, strong board with a twice successful CEO (Tony Gilby) taking Arrow Energy and Sunshine Gas from sub $100m and $20m startups to multi billion $ companies before being taken over. Also Gabaake Gabaake ex local government recruited and Linah Maholo ex governor of the bank of Botswana.
2. Tlou have proven and booked the only gas reserves in the entire country. Currently at 41bcf 2P and 426bcf 3P with 3.3TCF 3C booked on just a small portion of two of ten claims. Acreage position is 8300km of which they own 100%.
3. Production license already granted on one of ten blocks covering 900km for a 25 year term means they can go into commercial production.
4. Only company with EIA approval for upstream exploration and production granted for 200 pods (pod consisting of 1x vertical to 2x lateral wells = 600 wells).
5. RFP tender available for upto 100mw from the government, this was recently cancelled due to administrative purposes and put up for retender and shortlisted to just Tlou and one other company which should be updated on in the near term. Additional to this Tlou are targetting a multi offtake strategy to secure a PPA via negotiation directly with the local power corporation and also other offtake opportunities via the southern African power pool which allows them to wield power via the grid to customers in neighbouring countries. With an offtake secured it appears favourable discussions are already in place with development funders who should be keen to come to the table for development financing. Product can also be sold at spot price direct to market.
6. Strong support from government and a power deficit currently being remedied by import power, imported diesel and coal. All of which are expensive and/or dirty. Gas can be used solely or in combination as baseload to renewables. Tlou already have implied they wish to incorporate solar with the gas production making them the only hybrid/gas player in the country.
7. Institutional backing via African Alliance (Botswana Officers Pension Fund) at 11p for around £2.4m.
8. Proven model already in place with a gas to power genset already powering their operations.
9. Core rig purchased and due to arrive onsite imminently to further expand on reserve positions.
10. Mamba contingent resource expansion currently being assessed by SRK and should be due in the near term for further expansion of the already booked 3.3TCF resources.
These are some of the main points plenty more to go on top. Current gas reserves should expand nicely, Tlou have a product in a country crying out for cheaper and cleaner energy resources. Proposed 10-100mw plants have been touted at booking revenues of $10-15m or $100-150m per annum.