Neil, Brond, Green - the Psychology of Ciz28 Mar 2024 17:07
Neil, I sincerely enjoy your excellent intelligent posts and admire the time dedicated, but I wonder if you’ve lost objectivity?
Cognitive dissonance is a powerful force.. leads to self-justification in the best of us. That shifting sand analogy I used can carry investors to a place they don’t recognise without awareness of change.
So, serious questions, if I may:
Could you please explain your thinking behind “believing’ in the final outcome when:
1) Allan Syms with “market in near future” quote was either naive, optimistic or willingly deceptive. (Any one of those is bad trait for a leader of empirical science).
2) Last year he said we were about to start clinical trials, but this was patently false. (Again, deceptive, naive or optimistic)
3) The Portugese reagent company - supposedly the best - is out of the picture (with no RNS) and a French company ‘suddenly’ involved. (With no RNS).
The obvious conclusion is there’s probably been problems (of nature unknown). That’s a fair assumption, no? (Again, no communication from CEO, so assume negatives)
4) With Reagents not even verified at scale-up - and clinical trials posing another unknown, the permutations are unknown. Where is the foundation for staunchly standing by your ‘belief’?
5) Is Biotechne still involved..to what degree? Ciz is so shoddy with communication, anything could be going on.
Most people - me included - wanted a bigger tie-in with Biotechne. It hasn’t happened.
6) China no longer in the picture it seems. I think my first post I warned of this to much derision. Why? - again NO update from BOD. Nada! Investors seem happy to go along like it’s all fine!
Blinkers off, people !! It’s huge and, indeed, the main Market reason some people invested! The Avuncular cuddly AS probably eaten alive over there.
7) Not using drawdown. Not selling CDT shares. Probably mates rates for a raise. Awful - again. Trust?
8) Don’t you agree that the direction has appeared to have changed? The tone? Material things? Timescales?
Without knowing the full context / picture, how can you remain confident with duff data and disingenuous company statements. I don’t understand the basis of your belief, apart from “It will all be ok in the end”…which isn’t an argument based on the facts.
One of the main rules of investing - divesting - to me is simple:
When companies start lying/ being liberal with truth on promises/ timescales and progress, it's usually time to , at the very least, question your investment, or get out.
The awfully nice Allan Syms does not impress me, and after that shocking RNS plus the antecedence regarding communication with Ciz, I no longer understand my investment.
Do you? Really?
Ps Brondby/ Green especially. Also love your thoughtful posts.
For transparency, I sold 2/3 of my holdings after that diabolical RNS at 10% loss yesterday. That RNS was the pits. Very disappointed.
I’ll keep 1/3 and assess