My View5 Jan 2024 12:53
Before I begin, I will declare that I hold UFO shares - 11 million at an average of 0.246 pence per share. The following are my personal observations of UFO. Fundamentally, it has promise and occassionally it moves closer to achieving that promise but if there ever was an example of two steps forward and twelve steps backwards, this company is it. I have no experience of running a mining company but I do have years of experience in senior management and the key to successful management is communication. Under TW, it appeared to improve for a short while - regular announcements of progress but something happened in the last few weeks of 2023 and I don't think we will ever get to the bottom of that. It culminated in TW getting pushed - I don't for a moment believe he resigned of his own free will - companies do not let a CEO go before a replacement is announced because of the effect on SP (exactly what we saw happen but I think that was more a case of MMs taking advantage of unexpected negative news)). Uncertainty unsettles the markets and that has certainly happened in respect of UFO's SP. However, since the unexpected demise of TW, the volume of share trades has surprised me - or rather the lack of has surprised me. Despite other posters' comments, I have not witnessed the dumping of hundreds of millions of shares which would happen if the company was in freefall. I have studied the trades in UFO shares and there are certain traits to be gleaned.
Human behaviour, as such, tends to like order, roundness and ease. So, when I see a trade for a round number of shares (e.g. a million) or a round amount of money (e.g. £1,000), that usually indicates a retail investor. When I see haphazard amounts, that suggests MMs buying or selling because they need to do what they need to do to cover orders. Much of recent UFO trade volumes have been 'haphazard' so I guess the MMs are positioning themselves although the volumes are such that that is arguable. Today's volume of trades so far are all sells but only account for 0.0007% of shares in issue and most days the volume of trades is very small. Does not suggest the markets are unduly worried.
Nonetheless, the following observations do highlight some concerns - TW's LinkedIn profile still stating he is CEO, his profile is still on the UFO website as CEO - all indicates that the company operates a 'laissez-faire' attitude which is not what one wants when you are responsible to shareholders. Another point I noted over the Christmas break whilst reading the 'REMUNERATION COMMITTEE TERMS OF REFERENCE' is that any performance incentives should be approved by the Board and Shareholders but I don't ever remember being invited to vote on all the performance incentives announced in the RNS dated 4th August but I could be mistaken but there was certainly nothing in the October AGM.