Magician's Distraction31 May 2024 10:31
Mulled overnight yesterday's RNS announcement, and I am left with the impression this is like how a magician distracts his audience in order to pull off the illusion. I've not yet worked out exactly what is the illusion is but, then again, I don't believe #UFO is too sure what trick it is attempting to pull off. We all know this company has limited cash, recently borrowed because it was unlikely to pull off yet another placement, but suddenly decides to spread its resources rather than focus on the project that is within touching distance - Hanc**k. Mining licence achieved, a few procedual permits to obtain, low CapEx required, numerous interested parties (according the the BoD), agreements in place for mining, crushing, screening and transportation plus port access agreement and with a projected EBITDA of A$39 per annum (Β£20million+). Get that ball rolling and you can develop whatever other projects you want. Yesterday's 'tacked' on paragraph about Hanc**k said absolutely nothing we did not already know. In relative terms, that is six weeks since the mining licence was announced, Fenix had got everything over the line in that time - 13/08/2020 announces mining approval secured, 18/08/2020 NTA executed, 07/09/202 - FID announced, 15/09/2020 key mining approvals granted, 21/09/2020 - site works commenced. In five weeks, it went from having nothing to construction work beginning. It still required a mining contractor (UFO has), port access (UFO has), Transport contract (UFO has) but production started on 21/12/2020 with first shipping commencing 19/02/2021. On 31/07/2020, Fenix SP was A$0.07 (3.37 pence), on 14/08, it was A$0.18, peaking in July 2021 at A$0.36 (19 pence). Since UFO announced its NTA on 14/12, the share price has gone from 0.29 pence to lows of 0.12 and now we are somewhere in the middle of that range. So I ask what is the trick here? Is UFO really going to pull a rabbit out of the hat or is it merely an illusion?